TWolves vs. Pelicans Betting Preview, More Game Picks

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Nov/18/2023

Minnesota is coming off a bad loss in Phoenix following an otherwise impressive road trip where they won 3 of 4 games and were coming off a 7 game win streak prior to the loss in Phoenix.  Then we have New Orleans beating the reigning NBA champion Denver Nuggets at home last night and scoring 115.  Do the Pelicans have enough gas in the tank to win again versus this good Timberwolves team?

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Our number comes in at Timberwolves 0.95.  The actual line is -6 after opening at -4.5.  Action was around 75% on New Orleans.

The Pelicans have won two straight following a streak of five losses. 

Zion Williamson scored 26 points and Jonas Valanciunas added 22 points for New Orleans.

"We are starting to trust each other (on defense)," said forward Zion Williamson, who scored 26 points against the Nuggets. "The more stops we get, the more we can get out in transition."

For Minnesota this concludes a 5-game road trip. 

The Timberwolves have won the last three in this series. 

The T-Wolves come into this game owning an 8-3 record Straight Up but are 6-5 Against The Spread.  New Orleans was sitting around the .500 mark ahead of their November 17 game. 

Knicks @ Hornets

New York comes off a win in Washington last night.  They are a -7 favorite in Charlotte and that's the number we get.  Charlotte lost bad to Milwaukee at home last night.

Charlotte has lost five of their last six games including a 107-129 loss in New York.  The Knicks went on to lose badly in Boston the next night.

Miles Bridges returned to the Hornets following a 10-game suspension to start off the season due to domestic violence.  He scored 17 points in 33 minutes in a reserve role in his season debut.

"I know we lost the game, but it was good to be in front of the fans again," Bridges said. "I always feel like I can do better."

It's a tough call but we anticipate the Knicks will be off a bit from their anticipated 7 point handicap while Charlotte is due for a close game, probably not a win.

UCF @ Texas Tech

The line on this game has moved from -3 to -2.5 favoring Texas Tech.

Both teams are pretty much sitting on the .500 mark both Straight Up and Against The Spread.

We get a number of 3.75, indicating an underlay of slightly more than 1.

Underlays in this range (2/2.5/3 without going over the 3) tend to be good for the favorite.  The sampling for our model is relatively small however.

Pete Fiutak of CollegeFootballNews suggests a good reason to pull the trigger on the Red Raiders.

Texas Tech’s offense is different in Lubbock.

The four five worst offensive games against FBS teams this year were all on the road. The O put up 435 yards or more in all five home games against FBS programs at home.

UCF isn’t bad on the road, but it’s also a different team at home.

The Knight running game will still work on the road, but Texas Tech is going for a bowl game after its stunning performance at Kansas last week. The defense might not play as well as it did in Lawrence, but it’ll hold up just enough to get through a fun battle that will go down to the wire.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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