Free Baseball Pick July 11, 2010
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The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Chicago Cubs in the final MLB game before the All-Star break. Both offenses have been rather hot of late, so some offensive fireworks might be in store tonight. The Dodgers are -145 favorites, with a total of 7.5 runs expected tonight. ESPN will televise this game starting at 8:05 EDT.
Los Angeles will try to win their series with the Cubs tonight, in the final game before the All-Star Break. Each and every win is vital for the Dodgers, as they are competing in the competitive National League West division. Los Angeles is 48-39 SU this season, including 27-18 SU at home. The Dodgers are +1.38 and -1.63 units both SU and on the RL this year. P Vicente Padilla will make the home start for the Dodgers tonight, and he is 3-2 with an ERA of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 games against the National League Central. The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. Los Angeles is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 home games against a right-handed starter. Los Angeles is 4-1 in Padilla's last 5 starts against a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Padilla's last 5 home starts.
The Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Over is 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Chicago is likely to be a seller at the All-Star break, as they very well might be the most disappointing team in baseball this season. The Cubs are 10 games under .500 at 39-49 SU this year. Chicago is -20.90 and -8.91 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. The offense of Chicago has warmed up a bit, as they've scored at least 6 runs in 5 of their last 6 games overall. P Carlos Silva is expected to make the start tonight, and he's been the best pitcher for Chicago this season. Silva is 9-2 with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.07 this season. The Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 games against the National League West. The Cubs are 5-13 in their last 18 road games against a right-handed starter. Chicago is 1-4 in their last 5 games during game 4 of a series. Chicago is 1-5 in their last 6 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Cubs are 5-1 in Silva's last 6 road starts overall. Chicago is 1-4 in Silva's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Cubs are 1-4 in Silva's last 5 starts overall.
The Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the National League West.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Over 7.5 is the Total of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
