Péter Magyar Sex Tape Release: Trading Volume Gets Hot and Heavy at Polymarket

Péter Magyar
'My conscience is clear': Hungary's opposition leader said amid a sex tape scandal.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Sees Nearly $3 Million in Trading Volume

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election with people voting
The Bangladesh National Party (BNP) won a decisive two-thirds majority on Friday in general elections, a result expected to bring stability after months of tumult following the ouster of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina in a Gen Z-led uprising.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Keir Starmer Out By July According to Prediction Markets

Keir Starmer
Lawmakers have rallied around British Prime Minister Keir Starmer after some in his center-left party questioned the PM's judgment in appointing Peter Mendelson to the high-profile diplomatic post in 2024 despite his ties to the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on,

President Trump Super Bowl 2026 Prop Bets: Criticizes Bad Bunny, Number of Truth Social Posts

Donald Trump
Plus which will be higher? Total Points Scored In Super Bowl LX or Trump Sr. Approval Rating on Feb. 9th, 2026
Submitted by Tyrone Black on,

Bet on the Clintons Epstein Testimony: Will They Walk Out, Exercise 5th Amendment, Get Indicted, More

Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton testifying before congress
Former U.S. President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton have agreed to provide testimony to a congressional committee investigating the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Nicki Minaj Doubles Down, Claims to Be President Trump's 'Number One Fan": Not Favored to Attend State of Union Though

Nicki Minaj appearing with US President Donald Trump
Recording artist Nicki Minaj pledged additional support for US President Donald Trump this week saying she plans to contribute between $150,000 and $300,000 to fund her fans’ Trump accounts.
Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on,

Knives Out: Noem at 54 Percent Chance to Exit, Trump Supporting DHS Secretary.....for Now

Kristi Noem three face photos
Noem is now at -125 to resign or be forced out at BetOnline.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Kristi Noem Now Heavily Favored to Be Removed at BetOnline

Kristi Noem AP photo with gun pictured
After another ICE shooting in Minnesota, all eyes are on the DHS and its secretary, Kristi Noem.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Trump Cabinet Next to Leave Odds - Noem Now Favored

Kristi Noem
After another ICE shooting in Minnesota, all eyes are on the DHS and its secretary, Kristi Noem.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Noem Odds of Leaving Trump Administration Double in Recent Days Following Another Shooting

Kristi Noem
The chances of Kristi Noem ceasing to be the Secretary of Homeland Security by March 31, 2026 have gone from 14% to as high as high as 32% in recent days, nearly double, at the online prediction market Polymarket.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Odds of a US Government Shutdown February 1: 'Inevitable' According to Oddsmakers

Capitol Building closed for business
The YES was coming in at -800. In other words, it's practically guaranteed.
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Kristi Noem Out By March 31 Odds Still 15 Percent at Polymarket Following Another Fatal ICE Shooting

Kristi Noem
United State Secretary of Homeland Security is once again under scrutiny following yet another fatal shooting of a US citizen in Minneapolis by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

29 Percent Chance a Deal for the USA to Purchase Greenland From Denmark is Signed by April 1 According to Polymarket

Greenland betting market at Polymarket
Half a million had been traded thus far at Polymarket as of Thursday afternoon.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Marjorie Taylor Greene Replacement Odds for Georgia-14 Special Election

Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene stepped down from her post in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District on January 5.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Michele Tafoya's Minnesota Senate Odds; BetOnline First to Post Them

Michele Tafoya on the sidelines of a game
She's at 10-1 odds to be elected Minnesota's next governor.
Submitted by B.E.Delmer on,

JD Vance Baby Name, Weight Prop Betting Odds

Newborn baby
Second Lady Usha Vance and Vice President JD Vance will welcome their fourth child, a boy, this summer.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Musk 2026 Donation Project Odds: Kentucky Senate Race

Elon Musk
In January, Elon Musk made a major political splash by donating $10 million to a super PAC supporting Republican Nate Morris, who is a running for the U.S. Senate in Kentucky.
Submitted by Press Release on,

2026 Nobel Peace Prize Odds Have Donald Trump Co-Favorite But at 5-1

Trump blacked out with orange background
In a weekend text message to Norway's prime minister, President Donald Trump suggested that his push to acquire Greenland is partly motivated by his disappointment over not winning the Nobel Peace Prize.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Greenland Now With 5-2 Odds of Becoming a US State at Betting Markets

Greenland
An all out invasion is less likely with the No set at 1-10 odds.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Jerome Powell Conviction Odds at -1000 Not to Happen, Replacement Betting Market Also Available at BetOnline

Jerome Powell
US President Donald Trump's probe into Jerome Powell has caused havoc across the political and financial sectors.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Powell Out as Fed Chair Before May? Just 12 Percent of Gamblers Think So

Jermome Power Fed Chair
The Trump administration has threatened to indict Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell over congressional testimony he gave last summer about a Fed building project, But gamblers aren't buying that Powell is going anywhere prior to May of this year.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Ali Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran? Gambling Markets Say 'No' as Protests, Crackdown Continues

Ali Khamenei
Gamblers remain bearish that Ali Khamenei will be out as Supreme Leader of Iran, even before April 1.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Betting Markets Now Have Kristi Noem Favored to Leave Trump Administration Next at 3-1 Odds

Kristi Noem in cowboy hat standing in front of large American flag
Noem's odds remain fluid following a video that went viral of a fatal shooting in Minneapolis on Wednesday involving an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer,
Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on,

Odds fon Next US Invasion: Iran Favored, Greenland Long Odds, Venezuela Off Board, Polymarket Controversy

US President Donald Trump along side Iran Supreme Leader
BetOnline not offering odds on Venezuela is telling as one prediction market takes heat for claiming what transpired over the weekend in that Latin American nation was not an "invasion" and won't pay out.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Amy Klobuchar Democratic Nominee for Governor of Minnesota Odds Move to 84 Percent

Amy Klobuchar
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Democrats’ 2024 candidate for vice president, has ended his bid for a third term as governor amid President Donald Trump’s relentless focus on a fraud investigation into child care programs in the state.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Polymarket Says Venezuela Mission Saturday Not an Invasion: Some Traders Attempting to Collect Left Pissed Off

Venezuela bombing
"Then what the f*** would be an invasion?" asked one anonymous angry user on the Polymarket site.
Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on,

Keith Ellison, Steve Simon Toss Up as Democratic Nominee for Minnesota Governor as Tim Walz Drops Out of Race

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz announced Monday that he is dropping out of the 2026 governor’s race.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

Betting Markets Mixed Over Who Will Lead Venezuela By Year's End 2026

Delcy Rodriguez
The next leader of Venezuela is essentially a toss up as far as the betting markets are concerned.
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Betting Market: Venezuela Invasion, Latest Odds Released by BetOnline

Venezuela map
Betting market also opens on a Nicolas Maduro conviction.
Submitted by Press Release on,

Insider Trading on Venezuela, Other Future Wars 'Encouraged': New Trader Makes

Venezuela on map
Joe Pompliano, Sports + Business | Investing at Pomp Investments | Host of The Joe Pomp Show, his popular X page that a newly created Polymarket account invested over $30,000 yesterday in Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro's exit.
Submitted by t c jackson on,