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The Mets are currently playing under .500 ball with a 4-6 record their last ten games. The UNDER is 8-2 in the last ten games for New York. The UNDER is 34-28-2 on the season so far. BetOnline offers a true dime line up to -190.
This will be a doubleheader with Aaron Nola (5-4, 4.22 ERA) starting in Game 1 for the Phlilies and Taijuan Walker (6-3, 2.42 ERA) starting for the Mets.
Aaron Nola allowed six runs on six hits and three walks over just 2 1/3 innings on Saturday but did not factor in the decision as the Phillies defeated the Giants 13-6. He won his previous start against the Yankees.
NBC Sports Edge suggests that "a 27.6 percent strikeout rate and 22.3 percent K-BB rate still make the right-hander valuable in fantasy and a virtual must-start regardless of his struggles due to an immense ceiling".
Walker was charged with four runs over 6 1/3 innings on Sunday June 20 in a loss to the Nationals. He allowed 10 hits. He only permitted two runs in his previous start and one against Baltimore the prior game. Gambling911.com anticipates Walker to be solid against Atlanta in the first of a double header on Friday. In 41 at bats against Walker, the Braves have had just 7 hits and a single home run. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies in this game. Nola did not factor into the decision in his last start and was dominant previous to that game. Yan Gomes has enjoyed much success against Nola with two home runs and 4 RBIs, he is 6 for 16 hitting off him.
Taijuan Walker coming off a bad start and needing to make amends also provides some argument for the UNDER trend to continue for the Mets even though the OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
