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The Utah Jazz have been on fire of late and their futures odds to win the 2021 NBA Championship offer great value with a payout of $1400 for every $100 bet as of February 16.
Failed Covers So Far This Season
As of February 16, the Jazz have failed to cover the spread in only seven games out of 28 played. They have only lost five games Straight Up.
Two of these losses Against The Spread were early in the season with both lines closing at -9. A third consecutive ATS loss closed at -4.
More recently, the Jazz failed to cover its biggest spread of the season, -12.5. That was against the Detroit Pistons at home and was a miss by a half point (winning by 12 points).
They also failed to cover at one of the lowest closing lines of the season, -2.5 on the road versus Denver.
Only twice this season have the Jazz been underdogs - at home hosting the LA Clippers at +3.5 and on the road in Milwaukee at +5.5. Both were wins!
A Closer Look at the Lines
Denver opened as a -1.5 home favorite versus Utah on January 31 and that line quickly shifted to Jazz -2.5, with a handful of books closing at -3.
Since January 1:
-2.5 Away Covers
San Antonio @ Oklahoma City - No real move. Spurs by 10 points.
Brooklyn @ New York - Opened -5 and closed as low as -2. Brooklyn by 7.
New Orleans @ Sacramento - Line moved up a half point. Saints by 5.
Dallas @ Indiana - Most books closed at -2. Opened Indiana -1. Dallas wins by 12 points.
Denver @ Phoenix - Suns opened -1.5. Denver won by 8 points.
Denver @ Dallas - Most books closed -2. Dallas opened -1. Denver won by 5 points.
Boston @ Golden State - Most books closed at -3. Line dropped a half point to 1 point.
Dallas @ Atlanta - Most books closed at -2. Dallas by 6 points.
Minnesota @ Oklahoma City - Opened -2 and closed at -2 or -2.5 depending on the book. T-Wolves by 3.
3 of the 5 teams that won on the road not highlighted had winning records.
-2.5 Away Non Covers
Sacramento @ Houston - Most books closed at -2. Opened -4.
Toronto @ Golden State - Most books closed at -3. Opened -3. Warriors win by 1.
New York @ Cleveland - No line move. Cleveland wins by 3 points.
Orlando @ New York - Most books closed at -2. Line opened -1. New York by 7 points.
Utah @ Denver - Opened Nuggets -1.5. Denver by 11 points.
Phoenix @ New Orleans - Line opened at -2.5. No movement. New Orleans by 22 points.
Chicago @ Orlando - Line opened at PICK'EM. Orlando by 4 points.
Denver @ Sacramento - Line opened -4. Moved as far down as -1.5. Sacramento by 5 points.
New Orleans @ Chicago - Line opened at +3. Bulls by 13 points.
3 of the 5 teams that won on the road not highlighted had winning records.
Sagarin Overlays/Underlays
| Feb 15 | PHI | W 134-123 | W -8.5 (3 Point Overlay) | O 225.5 |
| Feb 13 | MIA | W 112-94 | W -7 (2 Point Underlay) | U 215.5 |
| Feb 12 | MIL | W 129-115 | W -2.5 (Correct) | O 233 |
| Feb 9 | BOS | W 122-108 | W -5.5 (1 Point Overlay) | O 221.5 |
| Feb 7 | @ IND | W 103-95 | W -5 (Correct) | U 224.5 |
| Feb 5 | @ CHA | W 138-121 | W -8 (2 Point Underlay) | O 224 |
| Feb 4 | @ ATL | W 112-91 | W -10 | U 221 |
| Feb 2 | DET | W 117-105 | L -12.5 | O 218.5 |
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
