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The Chiefs will come into Detroit as a -7.5 favorite at some books, with the line having trended from -5.5. The Sagarin Ratings do indicate the number should be -8. 73% of the spread action was on KC and they were seeing a whopping 95% of the moneyline action priced at -380. This means that a $38 bet must be placed to win $10 (that $38 bet is refunded just as long as the Chiefs win outright).
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In case you were wondering, The Chiefs as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points have gone 14-6 Straight Up over the past three seasons and 103-35 since 1992. As a road favorite within this range, Kansas City has gone 20-10 Straight Up since 1992, 3-1 over the last three seasons.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Chiefs -6.5. O/U: 55
ABOUT THE CHIEFS (3-0): Mahomes leads the league in virtually every passing category, including a sterling 134.9 passer rating fueled by 10 touchdowns without an interception, and he's surrounded with weapons. Even without injured speedster Tyreek Hill, Mahomes threw TD passes to three different receivers last week - and none of them was leading receiver Sammy Watkins or star tight end Travis Kelce. Kansas City still has some questions on defense and has been susceptible to the run, allowing an NFL-worst 6.2 yards per carry, but the secondary has shown improvement over last season.
ABOUT THE LIONS (2-0-1): Detroit isn't flashy on offense, but the offensive line has not allowed a sack on veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford in the last two games and the Lions played turnover-free football last week against the Eagles. Detroit hasn't gotten much from the running game, but Kerryon Johnson has been involved in a solid passing attack. The secondary has been decent but will be tested this week, especially if cornerback Darius Slay is unable to play after injuring his hamstring in the second half last week.
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
