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The books feel rather confident that the Red Sox are going to win this one as the line has moved from -146 to -184.
With the line movement we would consider Boston if not for the fact that the line has shot well over our cap of -160.
There are no indicators on the total as it's been moving back and forth between 8.5 and 9.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH David Price (1-2, 3.60 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.30)
Price turned in his third consecutive solid outing but took the loss Saturday against Tampa Bay after giving up a pair of runs and four hits over six innings. He struck out 10 and permitted two runs over five innings in a no-decision against the Rays in his previous turn and earned his lone win with seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball versus Baltimore on April 14. Abreu has been flustered by going 3-for-21 against Price, who owns a 6-5 record and 3.39 ERA in 15 starts against the White Sox.
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Giolito returns to the rotation for the first time since suffering a hamstring injury versus Kansas City on April 17, when he had struck out five over 2 2/3 innings before he was hurt. He had a pair of shaky outings in his previous two turns but picked up a win at Yankee Stadium despite allowing six runs (four earned) and walking four over five innings. Although he had a woeful 6.30 ERA in 2018, Giolito turned in a gem in his lone start against the Red Sox with 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball.
Eight of the last ten meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the current total of 9.
Giolito scares us just enough that we are going to avoid the UNDER.
The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Price’s last 8 starts overall.
2019 MLB Record: 7-4-1 (63.6%)
2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)
2018-19 NBA Record: 7-4 (63.4%)
2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)
2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
