Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Preview, Free Pick - July 21
The Cardinals-Reds Sunday game featured a line of -110 for both sides. The total was seeing the biggest shift, down from 10.5 to 9.5.
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Six of the last ten meetings have stayed UNDER 9.5.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Jack Flaherty (4-6, 4.41 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 4.29)
Flaherty's winless streak reached 10 starts following Tuesday's no-decision against Pittsburgh in which he permitted just one run on three hits and three walks while registering eight strikeouts over seven innings. The 23-year-old was even more dominant in a losing cause on July 7, when he yielded one run and two hits while fanning six batters in San Francisco. Flaherty recorded one of his three scoreless outings of the season on April 28 against Cincinnati, limiting the club to four singles and a walk en route to victory.
The last two games Flaherty has started have resulted in four and one run, respectively.
DeSclafani settled for a second straight no-decision Tuesday as he held the host Cubs to three runs and four hits - two homers - in 5 2/3 innings. The native of New Jersey has surrendered multiple home runs in back-to-back turns after serving up one over his previous six outings and is tied for fifth in the NL with 19 allowed on the season. Paul Goldschmidt (9-for-18, three doubles, home run) has thrived against DeSclafani, who is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts versus the Cardinals this season.
Both starters, one would think, are due for a better performance here. It's interesting to note that the Cardinals have only allowed five or more runs in two of their last ten games. They also have one of the better bullpens in Major League Baseball.
The Cardinals have scored 5 or more runs in half of their last ten games.
The UNDER is 27-11-1 in Cincinnati’s last 39 overall. They have scored 5 or more runs in half of their last ten.
Cardinals are 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Cincinnati but the Reds are 4-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals.
We will be on the UNDER 9.5 here.
Our Free Picks Record July 21
2019 MLB Record: 17-13-2 (56.6%) - No Plays Over -160
2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)
2018-19 NBA Record: 7-5 (58%)
2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)
2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
