College Football Betting 2019 – Georgia Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers

The SEC meat grinder will take down another team when the Auburn Tigers host the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday. Georgia moved into the top-4 in the College Football Playoff rankings last week after Alabama and Penn State faltered, and the Dogs are looking to avoid a similar fate in what will certainly be a hostile environment. The Tigers’ two losses likely leave them on the outside of the CFP picture since no 2-loss team has ever qualified, but they can certainly make life miserable for other contenders, starting against the Bulldogs and ending with Alabama in the Iron Bowl in a few weeks.

Georgia Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers

Date and Time: Saturday, November 16, 2019, 3:30 p.m. ET

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL

Opening College Football Odds: Georgia -2.5, O/U 45

Georgia at Auburn TV Coverage: CBS

Odds Analysis

The line has bounced back and forth from its opening of Georgia -2.5 to -3 and currently rests with the Bulldogs as a field goal road favorite. The teams are no strangers to having a tight spread. Should the current number hold it would be the sixth time in eight games the line closed at a field goal or less with Georgia going 3-2 SU and ATS in the previous five. The Bulldogs are coming off a shutout cover win over Missouri, their third clean sheet of the season. They are 3-0 SU and ATS in three road games this year. Auburn had a bye last week and is coming off a 20-14 win over Ole Miss where the Tigers failed to cover as a 17-point favorite. Still, they’ve been one of the best bets in college football this season with a 7-2 ATS record.

Georgia Bulldogs

The Bulldogs control their own destiny for reaching the CFP for the second time. With the help of losses by Alabama and Penn State last week, they climbed into the No. 4 spot on the latest rankings. Staying there is going to be a challenge with Auburn up next followed by Texas AM. If the defense continues to play as well as it has the Dogs look like a lock.

A 27-0 blanking of Missouri last week moved the Dogs to 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS, and more importantly it kept them ahead of Florida in the SEC East standings. Georgia has the edge by virtue of its 24-17 win and cover over the Gators a few weeks earlier in another game dominated by the defense. Georgia has three shutouts this season and ranks second nationally in points allowed at 10.1 per game. They are also fifth in total defense at 260.7 yards per game. While the totals have dipped the Dogs continue to be an under bettors dream. They’ve played below the closing total in four straight and the under is 7-2 for the year.

Playing against some stingier defenses in the SEC, the Dogs offense has cooled. They are averaging a modest 22.3 points in four games that started with their 20-17 upset loss to South Carolina. Jake Fromm has thrown for less than 200 yards per game with five touchdowns and three picks in that span.

Auburn Tigers

The CFP is out of the picture, but the Tigers can put a cap on an excellent season by winning out. That would mean taking down Georgia and Alabama over the next three games. It’s possible, but there isn’t a rich history against the Dogs. Auburn beat Georgia during the 2017 season on its way to the SEC West title. The teams met again a few weeks later in the conference championship with Georgia avenging that loss with a 28-7 victory and a berth in the CFP.

Auburn has dropped the last two meetings and five of the last six going 1-5 ATS in that stretch. Defensively the Tigers have the studs to quiet Georgia. They haven’t allowed more than 24 points in a game this season and surrender an average of 17.4 to rank 13th nationally. The Tigers allow FBS opponents to convert on just 31.2 percent of third down chances, and they’ll need to stop drives and allow their offense to do some work.

The expected return of leading rusher Ja’Tarvious Whitlow should boost Auburn’s offense. A committee approach with D.J. Williams, Kam Martin and Shaun Shivers getting touches has worked and the Tigers will need all the help they can get to penetrate Georgia’s fourth-ranked run defense. Success on the ground will also let Bo Nix operate with less pressure. Nix had his best game last time out throwing for 340 yards and the Tigers amassed 507 yards against Mississippi State.

Bet Georgia at Auburn at BookMaker.eu

Two strong defensive teams and a history of low scoring affairs has me seriously considering the under. Scoring a combined 37.2 points over the last six games, the clubs played below the total five times. Since opening at 45 the total has dropped to 40.5 and it still looks like a safe bet.

NFL Score Prediction: Georgia 21, Auburn 17

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