Dodgers-Marlins Game Monday July 5: Why We Like the Under 7 and LA at -152
Walker Buehler (8-1, 2.35 ERA) is slated to start Monday for the LA Dodgers. In most scenarios, LA would be better than a -190 favorite in Miami but the Marlins will start Trevor Rogers. This means the price comes in at an appetizing -152 at BetOnline.
Rodgers is 7-5 with a 2.14 ERA and starts in Miami. This has factored into the relatively low price as we don't expect to see anything under -190 the rest of this series.
And there is an argument for the UNDER 7 as well.
Only Miguel Rojas has had an RBI off of Buehler with 30 at bats by the Marlins. They have had 8 hits however. The Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rogers will come into this game desperate for a win following a string of losses and no-decisions after coming off the injury list.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in the Dodgers last 10 overall and both starters should bring their A-Games. The last two of three meetings between these teams stayed UNDER 8.
The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the Marlins last 7 games as a home underdog and 5-2 in their last seven games overall.
The scenario we see is one in which both starters pitch near flawless innings, making it into the 7th perhaps.
We do like the UNDER 7 here and the Dodgers -152.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com