Fade the Public Yes or No NBA - April 23
The betting public was backing all four NBA favorites at a 75 percent clip Tuesday.
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That would be Toronto, Philadelphia, Denver and Philadelphia.
It's easy to find any strong opinions by the books if a line was moving downward in an attempt to get more action on the favorite.
With Denver we are seeing a stationary line at -5.5 everywhere. We were not seeing any movement.
The line on Portland was moving in conjunction with the action from -3 to -4.
The Toronto line was trending a half point from -11.5 to -12.
And that Philadelphia line was moving from -7.5 to -8.5.
As such, we are not seeing any standout opportunities for a fade despite all the opportunities available.
Certainly the books could move the number towards -6 in the Spurs-Nuggets game if they had good feeling about Denver. One should watch for any move to the -5 as this could be an indication the books have an opinion on San Antonio covering. There were no signs this is the case prior to 1:15 pm EST, but things could change.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com