Free Pick Athletics vs. White Sox August 11
The A's were at -126, White Sox at +116 and the total 9. We have seen this total come off of 9.5 and touch 8.5 at some books.
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PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (7-5, 3.80 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (12-5, 3.44)
Bassitt is 0-1 over his last three starts despite lasting six innings each time and allowing a total of six runs with 18 strikeouts and three walks. He threw six scoreless innings against the White Sox at home July 13. The University of Akron product is 5-2 with a 3.16 ERA in nine afternoon starts this year.
Giolito won for the first time in over a month with six innings of three-run ball at Detroit on Monday. It marked the fourth time in five turns since the All-Star break that the 25-year-old recorded a quality start. Matt Olson is 2-for-3 with a home run against Giolito, who won his only prior start versus Oakland in 2018 by allowing four runs in seven innings and striking out eight.
The A's have won four of the last five meetings and seven of the last ten.
Four of the last five meetings have resulted in fewer runs than the current total and we have two quality starters.
Oakland has scored five or more runs in half of their last ten while allowing that many runs only twice in their last ten.
The White Sox have scored five or more runs in half of their last ten while allowing that many or more in three over that span.
The Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The White Sox are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter and 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The starters coming off of hard luck no wins coupled with both teams having issues versus right-handers has us going with the UNDER 9.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com