Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Week 1 Prop Bets: Line Drops 2 Points Tuesday
The Indianapolis Colts are -7 favorites against the Houston Texans in Week 1. The Colts (12) have a power rating of 22.91 going up against Houston (31) with a power rating of 11.43. We give Houston a home field advantage to come up with a line of Texans -9 and an underlay of 2 points.
Betting Line Movements and Action Report
Early Line Movement (Within 48 hours of Release) - None
Recreational Books Trending (Tuesday September 6) -8 to -7 (the one point drop happening on Tuesday).
Sharp Books Trending (Friday September 9) -7
Spread Action (Friday September 9) As much as 78% of the action was on Indianapolis with the number at 8 on Tuesday. That percentage remained unchanged as of Friday. The public was loving the Colts.
Gambling911.com Pick: Texans +7
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The line on this game has been as high as -9.5 at BetUS (August 23 to September 6).
So what happened on September 6 with some books coming down as much as two full points in a single day?
Patriots vs. Dolphins Hot Trends
- Colts are 3-12-1 Against The Spread in their last 16 games in Week 1.
- Colts are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 meetings vs. the Texans.
- Road team is 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
- Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Houston.
- Six of the last ten games in this series have resulted in wins of 7 points or less.
- The Colts would have covered in only four of the last ten games of this series using the -7.5 spread (-7 would have resulted in one push).
Injuries and Other News
What exactly is going on with that drop in the line Tuesday?
The Texans’ No. 3 pick will be active against the Colts Sunday.
Derek Stingley has been "100-percent" cleared by the team's medical staff to participate in all activities, Texans head coach Lovie Smith confirmed, but that was on Monday.
“He’s healthy. He’s ready to go,” Smith said Monday. “It’s safe to say he’s going to play this week. I’m excited about seeing him play.”
The Texans also worked out former Colts running back Jordan Wilkins, according to a league source on Tuesday.
Wilkins rushed for 951 career yards and four touchdowns with 35 receptions for 233 yards and no scores.
A former Colts fifth-round draft pick from Mississippi, Wilkins rushed for 1,751 yards and 14 touchdowns in college.
In the CBS Sports Power Ratings, Houston starts off at No. 26.
"They will be better than most expect. Davis Mills will be one of the surprise players in the league this year."
The Houston defense was looking pretty good during the preseason.
Prop Bets for the Patriots vs. Dolphins Game
First To Score
Colts -160
Texans +130
First Scoring Play Of The Game
Colts TD +150
Colts FG +300
Colts Any Other Score +5000
Texans TD +270
Texans FG +400
Texans Any Other Score +5500
Winning Margin
Colts to win by 1-6 pts +300
Colts to win by 7-12 pts +400
Colts to win by 13-18 pts +475
Colts to win by 19-24 pts +750
Colts to win by 25-30 pts +1200
Colts to win by 31-36 pts +2000
Colts to win by 37-42 pts +3500
Colts to win by 43 or More pts +4000
Texans to win by 1-6 pts +475
Texans to win by 7-12 pts +1000
Texans to win by 13-18 pts +2000
Texans to win by 19-24 pts +5000
Texans to win by 25-30 pts +9000
Texans to win by 31-36 pts +10000
Texans to win by 37-42 pts +11000
Texans to win by 43 or More pts +12500
Tie +6000
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
