March Madness 2022 Free Picks, Predictions and Hot Betting Trends

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Mar/17/2022

Below you will find some great free picks and betting trends for the 2022 March Madness in order of hotness from top to bottom.  Be sure to claim your $1000 risk free wager here at Jazz Sports (anonymous betting accounts available).  Scroll down to find negative trends with worse up top.  Note: We only look at trends 75% or greater and 30% or under.  Visit often as this page is constantly updated.

Takeaways From The Last Season of Normality (2019)

  • Favorites ranked 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 all failed to cover in the first round.
  • All ranked teams 1 through 17 won outright in the first round.
  • Two teams ranked within the top 12 that were single digit favorites each failed to cover their respective spread that first round of play.
  • Only two teams ranked 18 through 25 won outright that year in the first round.  

Hot March Madness 2022 Betting Trends

*ATS indicates Against The Spread - *SU indicates Straight Up

21 or Greater Number of Games Observed

  • Houston - As a favorite since 2017: 122-18-0 87.1%
  • Auburn - Since 2016, Auburn is an impressive 69-11 Straight Up (86.3%) in non-conference games. 
  • Duke - In non-conference games, Duke is 50-8 (86.2%) Straight Up.
  • Duke - At neutral sites- 25-4 (86.2%) Straight Up.
  • TCU - In non-conference games they are 70-12-0 (85.4%) Straight Up since 2016.
  • Texas Tech - In non-conference games since 2016, Texas Tech is 73-13 (84.9%) Straight Up.
  • Villanova - At a neutral site since 2016, Villanova is 45-8 (84.9%) Straight Up.
  • USC - As a favorite Souther California is 121-22 (84.6%) Straight Up since 2016. 
  • Villanova - As a favorite since 2016, Villanova is 153-28 (84.5%) Straight Up.
  • Baylor - As a favorite, Baylor is 118-22 Straight Up for a win percentage of 84.3% since 2016.  As an away favorite they have only lost five games in the last six seasons.
  • Villanova - In non-conference games, Villanova is 68-13 (84%) Straight Up.
  • UNC - As a favorite this season, the Tar Heels are 21-4-0 (84%) Straight Up.
  • Saint Mary's - As an away favorite since 2017 Straight Up, Saint Mary's is 35-7-0 for an 83.3% win percentage.
  • Auburn - As a favorite they are 115-24 Straight Up (82.7%) since 2016.
  • Michigan - After a loss Michigan is 43-9 Straight Up since 2016 (82.7%).
  • MSU - As a favorite, the Spartans are 18-4 (81.8%) this season Straight Up.
  • Arkansas - As a favorite since 2016, the hogs have gone 111-26 for an 81.0% win percentage.
  • Tennessee - As Favorite Tennessee is 102-24 Straight Up (81.0%) since 2016.
  • UCLA - As a favorite, UCLA is 114-28 (80.4%) Straight Up since 2016.
  • Houston - In non-conference games Houston is 58-10 Straight Up since 2017 for an 85.3% win percentage and 93-26 SU since 2013 for a 78.2% win percentage.
  • Ohio State - Straight Up in non conference games, the Buckeyes have gone 44-11 (80%) since 2016.

20 or Fewer Games

  • Michigan - After a loss the Wolverines are  11-2 84.6%.
  • Iona - Since 2017 in conference tournament games, Iona is 9-2-1 Against The Spread at an 81.8% clip. 
  • Longwood - They are 8-2 (80%) Against The Spread in conference tournament games since 2016.
  • Arkansas - Razorbacks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall (75%).

Cold March Madness 2022 Betting Trends

*ATS indicates Against The Spread - *SU indicates Straight Up

21 or Greater Number of Games Observed

  • San Francisco - Against ranked opponents since 2016, the Dons are 2-20 (9.1%).
  • UConn - They are 5-33(13.2%) as a road underdog Straight Up since 2016.
  • SDSU i just 3-19 Straight Up as an away underdog since 2016 (13.6%).
  • USC - Against ranked opponents they are just 5-21 (19.2%) Straight Up since 2016.
  • South Dakota State - As an away underdog, the Jackrabbits are 8-31 Straight Up since 2016 (20.5%).
  • Davidson - Against ranked opponents they are an abysmal 3-11 Straight Up dating back to 2016 for a 21.4% win percentage.   They only faced one ranked opponent this year, but that was one of the three wins.
  • Texas Tech - As an away underdog, the Red Raiders are 6-20 (23.1%) Straight Up since 2016.
  • San Francisco - As an away underdog, the Dons are 7-23 (23.3%).
  • Texas - As an away underdog since 2016, Texas is 12-34 (26.1%) Straight Up.
  • Colorado State - As an underdog, Colorado State is 22-61 Straight Up since 2016 (26.5%).
  • Arizona - Since 2016, as an away underdog Arizona is 6-16 Straight Up 27.3%.
  • UNC - As an underdog since 2016, the Tar Heels are just 11-28 (28.2%) Straight Up.
  • Boise State - Boise State as an away underdog has gone 12-29 (29.3%) Straight Up since 2016.
  • Chattanooga - Mocs are just 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games (29.6%).

20 or Fewer Games

  • Vermont - They are 0-12 against ranked opponents dating back to 2003.
  • Indiana - Hoosiers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog (25%).
  • Loyola Chicago - As an away dog, Loyola Chicago is 5-15 Straight Up (25%) since 2016.  They are 3-12 since 2018.
  • Colgate - 3-8-1 record (27.3%) Against The spread this season in non-conference games. 
  • Michigan - After a win, they are 5-12 Straight Up (29.3%).
  • Tennessee - As an away underdog, Tennessee is 6-14 Straight Up (30.0%) since 2016.

Odds to Win the 2022 NCAA Men's College Basketball Championship (updated March 12)

NCAAM Championship

Thu, Mar 17, 2022 EST

Rot Odds to win NCAA Mens Championship Moneyline
501 Gonzaga     +400
502 Arizona     +650
503 Kentucky     +700
504 Kansas     +900
505 Baylor     +1100
506 Auburn     +1400
507 Villanova     +1400
508 Tennessee     +1400
509 Duke     +1400
510 UCLA     +2500
511 Purdue     +2500
512 Texas Tech     +2500
513 Iowa     +2500
514 Houston     +3300
515 Illinois     +4000
516 Wisconsin     +8000
517 Texas     +8000
518 Arkansas     +8000
519 UConn     +8000
520 Michigan     +12500
521 San Diego State     +12500
522 LSU     +12500
523 Saint Mary's CA     +12500
524 Alabama     +12500
525 Virginia Tech     +15000
526 North Carolina     +15000
527 Providence     +15000
529 USC     +15000
530 Loyola Chicago     +15000
531 Boise State     +15000
532 Ohio State     +15000
533 Marquette     +20000
534 Memphis     +20000
535 Miami FL     +20000
536 Indiana     +25000
537 Michigan State     +25000
538 Davidson     +25000
539 San Francisco     +25000
540 Colorado State     +30000
541 UAB     +30000
542 Wyoming     +30000
543 Chattanooga     +30000
544 Vermont     +30000
545 Creighton     +35000
546 TCU     +35000
547 Murray State     +50000
548 South Dakota State     +50000
549 Iowa State     +50000
550 Notre Dame     +50000
551 Longwood     +50000
552 Georgia State     +50000
553 New Mexico State     +50000
554 Jacksonville State     +50000
555 Cal State Fullerton     +50000
556 Texas A&M Corpus Christi     +60000
557 Texas Southern     +60000
558 Akron     +60000
559 Norfolk State     +75000
560 Wright State     +75000
561 Delaware     +75000
562 Montana State     +75000
563 Bryant     +75000
564 Yale     +75000
565 Colgate     +75000

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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