Mets-Giants Betting Preview, Free Pick July 18

We are liking the Mets-Giants total tonight.  Let's take a closer look at this game.

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Mets-Giants OVER 7.5

This one has moved from 7 to 7.5 and four of the last ten meetings have gone OVER that number. 

The Mets have permitted five or more runs in half of their last ten, but it's the Giants scoring that really catches our eye.  They've scored 8 or more runs in four of their last five and six of their last ten.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-4, 4.55 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 3.86)

Syndergaard is 4-0 with a 3.82 ERA over his last five starts and he recorded nine strikeouts with zero walks in a seven-inning effort at Miami his last time out. The Texas native picked up a no-decision with 6 2/3 innings of three-run ball against the Giants at home June 4. Active San Francisco batters are hitting .182 with zero extra-base hits in 77 at-bats against Syndergaard, who has allowed one run and four hits in 17 career innings at Oracle Park.

Bumgarner let up one unearned run in five innings at Milwaukee on Saturday, which left him 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last four appearances. He also had a quality start opposite Syndergaard in New York last month and is 6-0 with a 2.00 mark in eight career matchups with the Mets. Todd Frazier (7-for-17, two home runs) and Wilson Ramos (7-for-19, two home runs) have had some success versus Bumgarner.

Syndergaard is probably due for a bad start, Bumgarner as well.  The Mets have one of the worst bullpens. 

The OVER is 7-1 in Syndergaard’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 6-2 in Syndergaard’s last 8 starts overall.   The OVER is 5-2 in Bumgarner’s last 7 home starts.

While the Angels are attractive, we'll hold back with Harvey starting and facing off against a solid Astros squad. 

We do like the OVER 7.5 with the Mets-Giants game and that will be our play today.

Our Free Picks Record July 18

2019 MLB Record: 17-12-2 (58.6%) - No Plays Over -160

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-5 (58%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com