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The Milwaukee Brewers have beaten Cincinnati in five of the last six meetings and are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Cincinnati.
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Milwaukee is a -115 favorite, Cincinnati +105. The line hasn't moved much here.
Chacin gave up three runs and three hits with seven strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings to get the win against St. Louis on Opening Day. The Venezuela native is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 10 games - eight starts - in his career against Cincinnati. Joey Votto is batting .333 with a pair of home runs in his career versus Chacin, who is winless in five career starts at Great American Ball Park.
DeSclafani had some strong stretches in 2018 after missing all of the previous season due to an elbow issue, but he faded late and was 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in six September starts. One of those outings involved five innings of four-run ball and a loss at Milwaukee, leaving the 28-year-old with a 4.91 ERA in eight career matchups with the Brewers. Yelich is 6-for-12 with two homers, two doubles and a walk against DeSclafani.
The Brewers are 6-1 in Chacin's last 7 starts.
Five of the last six in this series have stayed UNDER the current total of 7.5.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
