Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats Free Picks - January 25, 2022

There is a good game in College Basketball Tuesday night that the line might suggest will be less competitive.  It's between the 13-5 Mississippi State Bulldogs and 15-4 Kentucky Wildcats.  The line on the game is Kentucky -9.5.  Gambling911.com has a line of -9 to -9.5 as well, so this one is on the money.

Head to head, Kentucky has owned the series, winning nine of the last ten.  The last meeting was won by Mississippi State and we could view that as their "due" win, fully expecting Kentucky to have a victory in this meeting.  But do they cover a 9.5 spread?  They have NOT in the last three wins before the Bulldogs recent victory.

It's interesting to note that Mississippi State is just 2-6-1 Against The Spread in their last 9 games following a Straight Up win and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

The Wildcats, while 5-1 Against The Spread in their last six games at home, are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a Straight Up loss.

The oddsmakers see a significant margin of change between these teams ability compared to last year, or at least at the time these sides met.  Kentucky was only a -3.5 home favorite in that one-point loss.

Iverson Molinar scored eight of his 21 points in the final 3:07 to erase a five-point deficit and Mississippi State held off Kentucky 74-73 on March 11, 2021 in the second round of the Southeastern Conference tournament.

Mississippi State owned a 15-13 record while Kentucky had one of their worst seasons going 9-16 and failing to make the March Madness Tournament.  While both teams are improved over last year, Kentucky appears vastly improved.

In 2020, UK was a -6.5 home favorite against Mississippi State and won that game by 8 points.

Kentucky has covered the spread against the Bulldogs in five of the last six.

Only two of Mississippi State's five losses were by more than the current spread.

In the end, the standout stat is all but one of Kentucky's 14 wins were by double digits. All their losses were at home.  Take Kentucky here at -9.5.

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Tuesday 25

• 7:00 pm - College Basketball - Michigan State Spartans vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
• 7:30 pm - NBA - LA Lakers vs. Brooklyn Nets
• 9:00 pm - College Basketball - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats
• 10:00 pm - NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors
• 11:00 pm - College Basketball - Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins

Wednesday 26

• 6:00 pm - College Basketball - Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers
• 7:00 pm - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
• 7:30 pm - NBA - New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
• 9:00 pm - College Basketball - Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Pirates
• 10:00 pm - NBA - Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz
• 10:00 pm - NHL - Boston Bruins vs. Colorado Avalanche

Thursday 27

• 9:00 pm - College Basketball - Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Friday 28

• 8:00 pm - NBA - Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Saturday 29

• 12:30 pm - College Basketball - Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans
• 2:00 pm - College Basketball - Oklahoma Sooners vs. Auburn Tigers
• 4:00 pm - College Basketball - Baylor Bears vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
• 4:00 pm - College Basketball - Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Florida Gators
• 6:00 pm - College Basketball - Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks
• 6:00 pm - College Basketball - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
• 8:00 pm - College Basketball - Tennessee Vols vs. Texas Longhorns
• 8:30 pm - NBA - Brooklyn Nets vs. Golden State Warriors

Sunday 30

• 3:30 pm - NFL Conference Championship - Cincinnati Bengals vs. TBD
• 6:30 pm - NFL Conference Championship - San Francisco 49ers vs. TBD

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com