NBA Betting Picks April 15 – Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors aren’t expected to get much of a fight from the Los Angeles Clippers in their first-round NBA playoff series.
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And proving they are ready for another deep postseason run, the Dubs took care of business in Game 1, covering the closing line in a 17-point victory.
The Warriors might get tested in these playoffs, but it’s not coming from the Clips, who have lost four straight and 12 of the last 13 games at Oracle.
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors
Date and Time: Monday, April 15, 2019, 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
Opening NBA Odds: Golden State -14.5, O/U 230.5
Clippers at Warriors TV Coverage: TNT
Odds Analysis
The Clippers dropped their third in a row overall to the Dubs in Game 1 with all three losses by an average of over 20 points per game. And Saturday’s 17-point margin was the closest they came in any of those contests. So it doesn’t give me confidence that the Clips are going to pull this one out on the road. LA got 13.5-points on the Game 1 closing line and failed to cover. Monday’s tilt had the Clips as a 14.5-point dog before being wagered down a point.
This could be the final season that we see the Warriors championship team all together, and they are going to make it count. No club is better at flipping the switch come playoff time than Golden State and the Dubs showed just how efficient they can be when focused. The sharpshooting of Stephen Curry and a patented scoring binge was all the Dubs needed to subdue LA in Game 1. And don’t worry about this club losing its focus. The Warriors went through the regular season to get to this point, and now that they are here it’s time to show off.
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Clippers
Don’t be surprised to see Doc Rivers make some adjustments to his starting lineup after his group on Saturday combined to score only 39 points. That’s just one point more than Curry scored by himself. Bringing Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell off the bench gives the Clips an advantage with the second group, but if they are down by a severe margin, what’s the point? Williams and Harrell did their thing in Game 1 in a case of too little, too late.
Harrell scored 26 points on 11 of 15 shooting and Williams was 11 of 21 for 25 points. They both played over 30 minutes, but the Clips got behind early and never could catch up. To have any chance of winning a game, Rivers needs to put his best players on the floor at the start and see how they match up. Williams averaged 20 points per game while Harrell chipped in 16.6 points, 6.5 boards and a team-high 1.3 blocks per night during the season.
Warriors
Now that the second season has started, the Warriors are turning things up a notch. They extended their overall playoff winning streak to seven in a row and they are a ridiculous 20-1 at Oracle since the 2017 postseason. Facing bloated spreads during the regular season, the Warriors were just 35-46-1 ATS, making them one of the worst bets in the Association. Going back to the ’17 playoffs when they lost just one game, the Dubs are winners against the line over 61 percent of the time.
You can expect Curry to have nights like he had on Saturday dropping in 38 points on 8 of 13 shooting from distance. Durant will chip in his usual number of points and Klay Thompson is always a threat. But when Draymond Green makes his first five shots and scores 17 points, the Warriors are impossible to beat. The Dubs’ bench was outscored 65-22, but the starters more than made up for it with a 60-point bulge.
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Bet Clippers at Warriors at BookMaker.eu
The Warriors have a way of sucking the life out of teams. Whether it’s a barrage of threes, pinpoint passing or stellar defense, the Dubs can do it all. Even when the Clips got an edge with Patrick Beverley and Durant getting booted, it doesn’t result in anything positive. I still think the Clippers have enough left in them to at least compete, and I’m not ready to throw away 13.5-points. LA shot just 40.4 percent and got six points combined from starters Beverley, Landry Shamet and Ivaca Zubac. More production from those three and keeping their heads in the game should allow the Clips to cover, though I’m not ready to give them a W.
NBA Score Prediction: Warriors 117, Clippers 108
- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com Special Contributor
