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Arizona is a critical swing state. Heading into the month of September, Arizona was only a slight favorite for former US Vice President, Joe Biden, at -120, the sitting US President, Donald Trump, at -110.
Biden was leading Trump by 2.2 points in the RCP average in Arizona. Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton trailed Trump by 1.5 points in Arizona in 2016 before Trump eventually won the state.
A state-wide survey conducted by the Trafalgar Group, a Republican polling firm, had Trump ahead, 46.2% to 44.8%.
Another Arizona poll released following the GOP Convention, this one by OH Predictive Insights, showed Biden up 49% to 45% among registered voters.
On average, following the Conventions, Trump and Biden were each around -115 to win on the national front.
- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com
