New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Week 1 Prop Bets

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/06/2022

The Miami Dolphins were coming in as a -3.5 favorite on Tuesday following a trend from -2.5.  New England (16) had a power rating of 20.75, Miami (19) had a power rating of 19.84.  Tack on the home field advantage we get a line of -1.5 to -2.  None of the books have been on the number 2.  The line movement is occurring at 2.5 or higher and above the line we come up with, indicating a half point or greater overlay and the potential for New England to cover the spread.

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Betting Line Movements and Action Report

Early Line Movement (Within 48 hours of Release) - None

Recreational Books Trending (Tuesday September 6) -3 to -3.5.

Sharp Books Trending (Tuesday September 6) -3 to -3.5.

Spread Action (Tuesday September 6) Miami -3.5 65%.

Current Lean Tuesday: Patriots +3.5

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Across the board, the trend is for the line to be moving from Dolphins -2.5 in August to -3 and -3.5 the first few days of September leading up to this game.  Sagarin gives us a line of Miami -2 tops.

As of Tuesday, none of the books had hit the number -4.

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Patriots vs. Dolphins Hot Trends

  • Patriots are 2-8 Against The Spread in their last 10 meetings in Miami.
  • Home team is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
  • Two of the last ten games in this series have been decided by 2 or fewer points.
  • Three of the last ten games in this series have been decided by 3 or fewer points.
  • Miami has won six of the last ten games in this series.
  • Since 2018, the Dolphins have been favorites 18 times, winning all but 5 of those (72.2%).

Injuries and Other News

“I expect everybody that can be ready to go will be ready to go,” Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said. “I know everybody’s working really hard to be a hundred percent healthy and to be ready for the game. Players, coaches, staff, everybody, so, we’ll see how that develops, what kind of condition [the players] are in. I don’t know if they’ll be able to play, but they’re working hard to be there … We’ll just have to take it day-by-day on everybody and see where they’re at.”

Prop Bets for the Patriots vs. Dolphins Game

First To Score

Patriots    -110

Dolphins    -120

First Scoring Play Of The Game

Patriots TD    +225

Patriots FG    +330

Patriots Any Other Score    +5500

Dolphins TD    +180

Dolphins FG    +350

Dolphins Any Other Score    

Longest TD in the Game

Over  40½  Yards-115

Under  40½  Yards-115

Double Result

Patriots/Patriots    +240

Patriots/Tie    +4000

Patriots/Dolphins    +550

Tie/Patriots    +2000

Tie/Tie    +4500

Tie/Dolphins    +1600

Dolphins/Patriots    +700

Dolphins/Tie    +4000

Dolphins/Dolphins    +120

Winning Margin

Patriots to win by 1-6 pts    +350

Patriots to win by 7-12 pts    +650

Patriots to win by 13-18 pts    +1100

Patriots to win by 19-24 pts    +2200

Patriots to win by 25-30 pts    +4000

Patriots to win by 31-36 pts    +6000

Patriots to win by 37-42 pts    +10000

Patriots to win by 43 or More pts    +11000

Dolphins to win by 1-6 pts    +300

Dolphins to win by 7-12 pts    +475

Dolphins to win by 13-18 pts    +700

Dolphins to win by 19-24 pts    +1100

Dolphins to win by 25-30 pts    +2000

Dolphins to win by 31-36 pts    +3000

Dolphins to win by 37-42 pts    +5000

Dolphins to win by 43 or More pts    +6600

Tie    +5000

Place Your Bets Here

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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