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Factors to Consider Before Betting This Game
New England quarterback Cam Newton will typically draw the spotlight, whether for praise or criticism, and the Patriots' recent rebound on offense naturally brings the focus on Newton.
On the heels of a four-game losing skid that raised alarms throughout the league, Newton has found a bit of a groove and relatedly, the Patriots appear to be trending in the right direction as they enter Sunday's game against the host Houston Texans.
Newton is 40-of-52 passing for 392 yards and four combined touchdowns in victories over the New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens, producing a 106.7 passer rating central to the Patriots' improved play.
A commitment to running the ball -- the Patriots are averaging 173.3 rushing yards over their last three games -- seems to have bolstered the revival, with New England (4-5) cleaved to the ground game Sunday against the Texans (2-7).
"We've certainly tried to adapt our style and what we do from week to week to fit our players the best that we can against the opponent that we're playing, and all credit goes to the players," Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels said. "They've done some good things.
"We have a long way to go. We've got a lot of improvements we can still make but they've really tried to embrace what we've tried to do the last so many weeks. They've really worked hard in practice to improve and collectively we're making some strides."
The Texans continue to search for answers offensively, particularly in the running game. With starting running back David Johnson set to miss a second consecutive game with a concussion, Houston has leaned more on quarterback Deshaun Watson to augment the ground attack.
Watson has amassed 124 rushing yards over the last three games after totaling 109 over the initial six. Watson isn't explicitly running more by design, but the production is surely welcomed.
"A lot of those is just kind of reaction and just kind of making plays happen," Watson said. "It helps the offense to be able to expand what we do, especially open up the run game a little bit. Most of those plays has just been naturally, just kind of pocket collapsing and me just making a play."
Texans left tackle Laremy Tunsil (illness) headlined a host of Texans who missed practice on Wednesday. Running back Duke Johnson (illness), wideout Kenny Stills (back), safety Michael Thomas (shoulder) and punter Bryan Anger (quad) also missed.
For the Patriots, veteran receiver Julian Edelman (knee surgery) and rookie offensive lineman Justin Herron (ankle) are both on the brink of returning to action after having missed the past three games each.
Edelman (21 catches, 315 yards) and Herron, who started against the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos, haven't been cleared, but their progress will be closely monitored.
"Neither player has had a setback," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said Wednesday. "They've both progressed in a positive direction. It's just really a question of whether they're ready or not, and is that today, is it (Thursday), is it next week.
"I'm not sure what the time frame is on that, but I think they're all moving in the right direction and the decisions really on this, before we start the clock, we just want to make sure that they're confident and we're confident that they're ready for participation in the next stage of their return to play."
--Field Level Media
Sagarin Rating
Patriots -3
Game Props
Rot |
Cam Newton (NE) Total Completions |
Moneyline |
701 |
Over 18½ Completions |
|
702 |
Under 18½ Completions |
|
Rot |
Cam Newton (NE) Total Touchdown Passes |
Moneyline |
705 |
Over 1½ Touchdown Passes |
|
706 |
Under 1½ Touchdown Passes |
|
Rot |
Jakobi Meyers (NE) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
707 |
Over 4½ Receptions |
|
708 |
Under 4½ Receptions |
|
Rot |
Jakobi Meyers (NE) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
709 |
Over 61½ Receiving Yards |
|
710 |
Under 61½ Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
Damiere Byrd (NE) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
711 |
Over 35½ Receiving Yards |
|
712 |
Under 35½ Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
Deshaun Watson (HOU) Total Completions |
Moneyline |
801 |
Over 23½ Completions |
|
802 |
Under 23½ Completions |
|
Rot |
Deshaun Watson (HOU) Total Passing Yards |
Moneyline |
803 |
Over 283½ Passing Yards |
|
804 |
Under 283½ Passing Yards |
|
Rot |
Deshaun Watson (HOU) Total Touchdown Passes |
Moneyline |
805 |
Over 1½ Touchdown Passes |
|
806 |
Under 1½ Touchdown Passes |
|
Rot |
Deshaun Watson (HOU) Total Rushing Yards |
Moneyline |
807 |
Over 27½ Rushing Yards |
|
808 |
Under 27½ Rushing Yards |
|
Rot |
Duke Johnson Jr (HOU) Total Rushing Yards |
Moneyline |
809 |
Over 57½ Rushing Yards |
|
810 |
Under 57½ Rushing Yards |
|
Rot |
Duke Johnson Jr (HOU) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
811 |
Over 3½ Receptions |
|
812 |
Under 3½ Receptions |
|
Rot |
Duke Johnson Jr (HOU) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
813 |
Over 28½ Receiving Yards |
|
814 |
Under 28½ Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
Duke Johnson Jr (HOU) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
815 |
Over 86½ Rush+Receiving Yards |
|
816 |
Under 86½ Rush+Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
Brandin Cooks (HOU) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
817 |
Over 4½ Receptions |
|
818 |
Under 4½ Receptions |
|
Rot |
Brandin Cooks (HOU) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
819 |
Over 64½ Receiving Yards |
|
820 |
Under 64½ Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
Will Fuller V (HOU) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
821 |
Over 4½ Receptions |
|
822 |
Under 4½ Receptions |
|
Rot |
Will Fuller V (HOU) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
823 |
Over 62½ Receiving Yards |
|
824 |
Under 62½ Receiving Yards |
|
Rot |
First To Score |
Moneyline |
1001 |
Patriots |
|
1002 |
Texans |
|
Rot |
Score in 1st 6 min |
Moneyline |
1003 |
Yes |
|
1004 |
No |
|
Rot |
First Score of the Game |
Moneyline |
1005 |
TD |
|
1006 |
Any Other Score |
|
Rot |
First Scoring Play |
Moneyline |
1007 |
Patriots TD |
|
1008 |
Patriots FG |
|
1009 |
Patriots Any Other Score |
|
1010 |
Texans TD |
|
1011 |
Texans FG |
|
1012 |
Texans Any Other Score |
|
Rot |
Will there be a Defensive or Special Teams TD |
Moneyline |
1013 |
Yes |
|
1014 |
No |
|
Rot |
Total TDs in the Game |
Moneyline |
1015 |
Over 5½ TDs |
|
1016 |
Under 5½ TDs |
|
Rot |
Total FGs Scored in the Game |
Moneyline |
1017 |
Over 3½ FGs |
|
1018 |
Under 3½ FGs |
|
Rot |
Longest TD in the Game |
Moneyline |
1019 |
Over 40½ Yards |
|
1020 |
Under 40½ Yards |
|
Rot |
Shortest TD in the Game |
Moneyline |
1021 |
Over 1½ Yards |
|
1022 |
Under 1½ Yards |
|
Rot |
Longest FG Scored in the Game |
Moneyline |
1023 |
Over 47½ Yards |
|
1024 |
Under 47½ Yards |
|
Rot |
A Team to Score 3 Unanswered Times |
Moneyline |
1025 |
Yes |
|
1026 |
No |
|
Rot |
Team To Score Longest TD |
Moneyline |
1027 |
Patriots |
|
1028 |
Texans |
|
Rot |
Team To Score Longest FG |
Moneyline |
1029 |
Patriots |
|
1030 |
Texans |
|
Rot |
Team Scoring 1st Wins Game |
Moneyline |
1031 |
Yes |
|
1032 |
No |
|
Rot |
Team to Call 1st Timeout |
Moneyline |
1033 |
Patriots |
|
1034 |
Texans |
|
Rot |
Double Result |
Moneyline |
1035 |
Patriots/Patriots |
|
1036 |
Patriots/Tie |
|
1037 |
Patriots/Texans |
|
1038 |
Tie/Patriots |
|
1039 |
Tie/Tie |
|
1040 |
Tie/Texans |
|
1041 |
Texans/Patriots |
|
1042 |
Texans/Tie |
|
1043 |
Texans/Texans |
|
Rot |
Race To 10 Points |
Moneyline |
1044 |
Patriots |
|
1045 |
Texans |
|
1046 |
Neither |
|
Rot |
Will the Game go to Overtime |
Moneyline |
1047 |
Yes |
|
1048 |
No |
|
Rot |
Highest Scoring Half |
Moneyline |
1049 |
1st Half |
|
1050 |
2nd Half |
|
1051 |
Tie |
|
Rot |
Highest Scoring Quarter |
Moneyline |
1052 |
1st Quarter |
|
1053 |
2nd Quarter |
|
1054 |
3rd Quarter |
|
1055 |
4th Quarter |
|
1056 |
Tie |
|
Rot |
Winning Margin |
Moneyline |
1057 |
Patriots to win by 1-3 pts |
|
1058 |
Patriots to win by 4-6 pts |
|
1059 |
Patriots to win by 7-10 pts |
|
1060 |
Patriots to win by 11-13 pts |
|
1061 |
Patriots to win by 14-17 pts |
|
1062 |
Patriots to win by 18-21 pts |
|
1063 |
Patriots to win by 22 or more pts |
|
1064 |
Texans to win by 1-3 pts |
|
1065 |
Texans to win by 4-6 pts |
|
1066 |
Texans to win by 7-10 pts |
|
1067 |
Texans to win by 11-13 pts |
|
1068 |
Texans to win by 14-17 pts |
|
1069 |
Texans to win by 18-21 pts |
|
1070 |
Texans to win by 22 or more pts |
|
Rot |
Total Points Scored |
Moneyline |
1071 |
00-14 Points |
|
1072 |
15-21 Points |
|
1073 |
22-28 Points |
|
1074 |
29-35 Points |
|
1075 |
36-42 Points |
|
1076 |
43-49 Points |
|
1077 |
50-56 Points |
|
1078 |
57-63 Points |
|
1079 |
64-70 Points |
|
1080 |
71-77 Points |
|
1081 |
78 or More Points |
|
Rot |
1st Half Total TDs Scored |
Moneyline |
1082 |
Over 2½ TDs |
|
1083 |
Under 2½ TDs |
|
Rot |
1st Half Total FGs Scored |
Moneyline |
1084 |
Over 1½ FGs |
|
1085 |
Under 1½ FGs |
|
Rot |
Score in Last 2 min of the 1st Half |
Moneyline |
1086 |
Yes |
|
1087 |
No |
|
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com