Odds on Free Drop Billy Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Free Drop Billy was coming in at 55/1 odds of winning the 2018 Kentucky Derby early on.
WHY FREE DROP BILLY CAN WIN THIS YEAR'S KENTUCKY DERBY
He’s finished in the money in 7 of 8 career starts, the only bad race coming in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (ninth place). With stablemate Promises Fulfilled expected to set fast early fractions, he figures to the set-up he needs to make a late charge.
WHY FREE DROP BILLY CAN'T WIN THIS YEAR'S KENTUCKY DERBY
His career-best Beyer Speed Figure – 90 in the Holy Bull – indicates he’s just not fast enough to compete with the best horses in this field.
*Source Courier Journal
WHAT THEY ARE SAYING
Regarding the distance, trainer Dale Romans thinks the 1 1/4-mile track suits his horse well:
"I think the added distance is what's going to move him up. The mile and a quarter he'll love," Romans said. "He's only run one bad race ever—we don't have an explanation for that one—but all of the others have been good races."
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- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com