Odds on Justify Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Justify was coming in at 2/1 odds of winning the 2018 Kentucky Derby early on.
WHY JUSTIFY CAN WIN THIS YEAR'S KENTUCKY DERBY
Because he may well be a freak. He’s 3 for 3 and has won by a combined 19 lengths. His 107 Beyer Speed Figure in the Santa Anita Derby is the highest of any horse in the Kentucky Derby field.
WHY JUSTIFY CAN'T WIN THIS YEAR'S KENTUCKY DERBY
He’s going against two longstanding Derby trends. Apollo in 1882 is the only horse to win without racing as a 2-year-old. Regret (1915) and Big Brown (2008) are the only horses to win the Derby with just three career starts entering the race.
*Source Courier Journal
WHAT THEY ARE SAYING
Trainer Bob Baffert on his first experience with Justify:
"The first time I worked him at Santa Anita, I knew he was a really good horse,” he said. “The track was really deep that morning, and he went around there effortlessly. His first race, he ran incredibly and showed how special he was.”
On Justify having not raced as a two-year-old:
“I’d rather have a really talented horse than one who’s seasoned and just on par with the rest of them,” Baffert said. “Back in the day people would run their horses a lot more and run their 2-year-olds a lot earlier. The game has changed. It’s going to happen.”
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- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
