PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win The Open Championship 2019

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

Call it the British Open or just The Open, but don’t call it another tournament. The world’s best golfers gather in Northern Ireland this week for the 148th Open Championship, which will take place at Royal Portrush for the first time since 1951.

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The fourth major of the season is the most prestigious and is also the oldest. Rory McIlroy, a two-time PGA Tour winner this season has prepped all year for this event on home soil and opened as the betting favorite. But is there really a favorite with such a loaded field? Brooks Koepka looks to keep his magical streak of major finishes going and Tiger Woods will swing a club for the first time since the U.S. Open.

Visit for complete odds, matchups and props for the 148th Open Championship.

The Open Championship

Dates: Thursday, July 18 - Sunday, July 21, 2019

Location: Royal Portrush, Portrush, Northern Ireland

Opening PGA Tour Odds: Rory McIlroy +725

The Open Championship TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC

Odds Analysis

With so many great golfers gathered for this tournament it’s difficult to select a favorite. McIlroy worked his schedule around this event so he could be ready to make his fellow countrymen proud. Will playing on home soil give him an edge or will it be a distraction? It’s hard to say, but you can’t argue his game. Two victories among his 11 top-10 finishes this season are proof of that. And he’s been solid in The Open, which is why he’s atop the odds board.

You could very easily put Koepka ahead of Rory and nobody would be the wiser. Koepka’s play in major championships is legendary and having Portrush native Ricky Elliott as caddie seems unfair. What isn’t fair is Koepka’s record in majors with a win and two runner-up showings this year.

Hopefully for Gary Woodland the hangover from his U.S. Open victory has subsided. He followed his first major win with a MC at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He’s perfect in seven Open Championships, but he has just one top-25 finish.

Another American golfer looking to give the Red, White and Blue its first sweep of the majors since 1982 is that guy Tiger Woods. He hasn’t pegged it up since a T21 at the U.S. Open and he’s adjusted his schedule to get the most out of his game. Tiger won the Masters in April and took a hiatus before the PGA Championship only to miss the cut.

If it was the break between events, Woods would have played prior to The Open, so something tells me there were other factors at play. A rested Tiger is a dangerous Tiger and the field better look out.

Royal Portrush is a typical links-style layout with rolling terrain, tricky undulating greens and deep bunkers. If you’ve played one links course you’ve played them all, right? Wrong. A number of players have never teed up here so there will be some getting used to. And the golfer that has the most luck might end up being victorious. We just don’t know who that is.


Odds to Win U.S. Open at

Rory McIlroy +725

Brooks Koepka +1025

Jon Rahm +1450

Dustin Johnson +1894

Tiger Woods +2252

Justin Rose +2402

Tommy Fleetwood +2652

Adam Scott +2670

Justin Thomas +2694

Xander Schauffele +2879

Patrick Cantlay +3064

Henrik Stenson +3365

Francesco Molinari +3515

Bryson Dechambeau +3776

Rickie Fowler +4050

Matt Kuchar +4050

Hideki Matsuyama +4200

Jason Day +4350

Jordan Spieth +4571

Rafael Cabrera Bello +5050

Paul Casey +5050

Matt Wallace +5500

Louis Oosthuizen +5500

While there are several golfers who standout among the field, there are some things to look out for. McIlroy has 11 top-10s with wins at THE PLAYERS Championship and Canadian Open and he’s been T5 or better in four straight Opens. He’s handled the links courses well and claimed a victory at the Irish Open three years ago. This is a major, however, and the pressure will be more intense. Can he perform with the weight of a country on his shoulders?

And can Koepka continue to dominate the majors? He’s finished first or second in five of the last six major championships and that’s just hard to continue. At some point there has to be a fall off.

Francesco Molinari carded a bogey-free final round to win last year’s Open at Carnoustie and he claimed a top-10 at the Irish Open at Royal Portrush, so he can’t be ruled out. But there aren’t many back-to-back winners for a reason, and recent form suggests the Spaniard won’t do it this time.

As much attention as Tiger is going to get this week, can he perform at a high level against the best golfers in the world after not playing competitively for a month. I have to say no to that one.

One player I’m keeping an eye on is Xander Schauffele, who like Koepka has thrived in major championships. Call him Brooks-lite since he doesn’t have a win yet, but he’s finished among the top-six in four of his last six majors with a T3 at the U.S. Open. He’s shown he can compete with the big boys on Tour and he’s had a fabulous season. A T2 at Carnoustie last year shows he can tame the links, too.


The Open Championship Pick: Xander Schauffele

Top-10 Lock: Rory McIlroy

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