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All eyes on the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds total as that number moves up from 8 to 8.5 and essentially follows the action with better than 80% of total bets on the OVER.
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Six of the last ten in this series have gone OVER the current number.
TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Pittsburgh, FS Ohio (Cincinnati)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Trevor Williams (2018: 14-10, 3.11 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sonny Gray (2018: 11-9, 4.90)
Williams pitched superbly over the second half of last season, posting an 8-3 record and 1.29 ERA over his last 13 starts, including eight scoreless appearances. In doubling his victory total from the previous season, the 26-year-old won both of his starts against the Reds, giving up two runs over 12 innings, to improve to 3-1 with a 3.78 ERA lifetime against them. First baseman Joey Votto has been a nemesis for Williams, going 8-for-17 with three doubles while Jesse Winkler is 4-for-6.
Gray never lived up to expectations during his 1 1/2-year stint with the New York Yankees and was shipped to Cincinnati as part of a three-team trade in January. A two-time 14-game winner during his tenure with the Oakland Athletics, Gray finished 11-9 with an exorbitant 4.90 ERA last season and finished the season pitching out of the bullpen. Although he has pitched in the American League his entire career, the 29-year-old has been taken deep twice by Corey Dickerson (5-for-17).
The Reds were listed at -125 to -130 depending on the book.
Better than 80% of the action was on the Reds and the line was moving accordingly.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
