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La Liga returns this week and we will have a very interesting game when Real Madrid hosts Eibar on Sunday. There will be many safety protocols in place, just like the Bundesliga had.
For example, La Liga games will be played behind closed doors and each team will have five substitutions. The competition resumes after it was postponed on March 12th because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Real Madrid is in second place in the standings, two points behind FC Barcelona while Eibar is in 16th place with 27 points in 27 games, fighting to avoid relegation. Both teams desperately need to win.
Let's take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.
Betting Odds By Scoresandstats.com
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Real Madrid: -400
Eibar: +950
Draw: +460
Spread
Real Madrid: -1.5, -2 (-111)
Eibar: +1.5, +2 (-109)
Total
Over 3 (-125)
Under 3 (+105)
Key Points to Consider
Real Madrid, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Real Betis, have three losses, two wins and one draw in their last six overall. Eibar, coming off a 2-1 home loss against Real Sociedad, have four losses, one win and one draw in their last six overall.
Momentum: Eibar has been on a downward trend -- losing four of their last five games in La Liga.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on November 9, 2019 and Real Madrid won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
Simulations I have run project Karim Benzema, Sergio Ramos García, Vinícius Junior and Fabián Orellana as the players most likely to score (the first three players are from Real Madrid).
Both teams haven't played in a while and they might have some rust but you have to like Real Madrid at home. They can't afford to drop points at this stage of the season, especially at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano (Estadio Santiago Bernabéu is being renovated). Real Madrid is the better team but the safest bet is to take Under 3 at plus money, hoping for a 1-0, 2-0 final score.
Free Soccer Pick: Under 3 (+105)
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