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While it is entirely possible that former US President Donald Trump could see his Twitter account reinstated on news that free speech advocate Elon Musk is purchasing the social media platform for $44 billion, oddsmakers at BetOnline don't see it happening any time soon.
In fact, BetOnline odds imply just a 28.6% probability that Trump's Twitter account will be restored by the end of 2022.
Will @RealDonaldTrump Twitter ban be lifted by 12/31/22?
Yes: +250 pays $25 for every $10 bet
No: -400
But these odds are not necessarily representative of Musk's decision.
The purchase might not be completed by the end of 2022, in which case the odds would look much different for a 2023 Trump social reinstatement. Here are those projections:
Will @RealDonaldTrump Twitter ban be lifted by 12/31/23?
Yes: +125 pays $12.50 for every $10 bet
No: -175
For his part, Trump says a Musk Twitter takeover would be a positive development, but he will stay with his own platform, Truth Social.
"I am not going on Twitter, I am going to stay on TRUTH," Trump told Fox News. "I hope Elon buys Twitter because he’ll make improvements to it and he is a good man, but I am going to be staying on TRUTH."
Betting lock these prices in now though as they are not going to be available for long.
- Aaron Goldstein, Gambling911.com
