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Gambling911.com has a line of Providence -4 in their first round game against South Dakota State, considered the hottest three-point shooters in college basketball coming into the tournament. The actual spread was -2. Providence pays out $8000 on a $100 bet. South Dakota State pays $40,000.
Providence
Record: 25-5, 14-3 Big East
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 31
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 78
Against The Spread: 17-13
Over Total: 16-14
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +8000
This was the first ever outright Big East regular season title for the Friars. Providence won 15 games by single digits.
Center Nate Watson is averaging 13.8 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.
Since 2017, Providence has struggled on neutral courts where they are 6-11 (35.3%).
South Dakota State
Record: 30-4, 18-0 Summit
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 12
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 222
Against The Spread: 18-14-1
Over Total: 16-14
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +40000
This was the most successful Jackrabbits season ever.
The Jackrabbits went 18-0 in the Summit League, have won a program-record 30 games and haven’t lost since Dec. 15. But are they good enough to beat Providence?
The problem: South Dakota State is 0-8 against ranked opponents since 2016 and this isn't any old ranked opponent.
As an away underdog, the Jackrabbits are 8-31 Straight Up since 2016 (20.5%). Even this season they are 0-2 as an away dog.
South Dakota State is a good team but Providence should win with a -135 price on the moneyline.
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
