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The Arkansas Razorbacks @ Florida Gators game features a line of Gators -3. Action was mostly balanced after the line came down off the -5.5 earlier in the week.
A Review of the Line
Sagarin only has Florida at 0.55, suggesting an overlay of 2 to as much as 4.5 points earlier in the week. The number 3/3.5/4 range without dipping below the 3 where there is an overlay is almost never good for the favorite.
The dilemma here, of course, is that we have an Arkansas team that is just 2-6 on the season thus far.
This is an important game for Florida as they seek bowl eligibility.
Razorbacks vs. Gators Player Props
Graham Mertz is listed with an Over/Under of 245.5 passing yards for this game.
Mertz ran for a touchdown late and threw for 230 yards and two scores, including a 25-yarder to Tre Wilson on the opening drive in the loss to Georgia last week.
Freshman WR Eugene “Tre” Wilson has 25 catches for 222 yards and two touchdowns in his last three games, including a career-best 11 receptions against top-ranked Georgia last Saturday. He’s become one of the team’s top playmakers.
Eugene Wilson receiving props include 43+ at -244 odds, 53+ at -113, 63 paying $11 on a $10 bet, 73+ paying $17, 83+ paying $30 and 93+ paying out $49.
Arkansas quarterback K.J. Jefferson was coming in at Over/Under 210.5 passing yards.
All-American RB Raheim “Rocket” Sanders returned to practice this week and could be back on the field in Gainesville, about 170 miles north of his hometown. Sanders, who ran for 1,443 yards and 10 TDs last year, has been limited to three games this season because of a knee injury.
The Razorbacks rank 122nd in the nation and last in the league in total offense, averaging 305.9 yards a game.
Head to Head Markets
Most Receiving Yards: Andrew Armstrong (ARK) vs Ricky Pearsall (FLA)
+112
-170
Most Receiving Yards: Andrew Armstrong (ARK) vs Kahleil Jackson (FLA)
-910
+400
Most Receiving Yards: Andrew Armstrong (ARK) vs Arlis Boardingham (FLA)
-626
+320
Most Receiving Yards: Andrew Armstrong (ARK) vs Eugene Wilson III (FLA)
-197
+129
Most Receiving Yards: Arlis Boardingham (FLA) vs Isaac TeSlaa (ARK)
-102
-150
Most Receiving Yards: Eugene Wilson III (FLA) vs Isaac TeSlaa (ARK)
-286
+179
Most Passing TDs: Graham Mertz (FLA) vs K.J. Jefferson (ARK)
-205
+139
Most Passing Yards: Graham Mertz (FLA) vs K.J. Jefferson (ARK)
-197
+127
Most Receiving Yards: Isaac TeSlaa (ARK) vs Kahleil Jackson (FLA)
-170
+112
Most Receiving Yards: Isaac TeSlaa (ARK) vs Ricky Pearsall (FLA)
+309
-589
Margin of Victory Odds
Arkansas to win by 1-6 pts +400
Arkansas to win by 7-12 pts +650
Arkansas to win by 13-18 pts +1000
Arkansas to win by 19-24 pts +1600
Arkansas to win by 25-30 pts +3000
Arkansas to win by 31-36 pts +4000
Arkansas to win by 37-42 pts +6600
Arkansas to win by 43 or more pts +10000
Florida to win by 1-6 pts +350
Florida to win by 7-12 pts +500
Florida to win by 13-18 pts +700
Florida to win by 19-24 pts +1100
Florida to win by 25-30 pts +1800
Florida to win by 31-36 pts +2500
Florida to win by 37-42 pts +4000
Florida to win by 43 or more pts +5000
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
