Betting Baseball – The Hot Sheet - April 9

Gambling911.com has all the best stats for betting baseball right here.  Below you will find the Hot Sheet for Tuesday April 9, 2013.  Place your bets online at BetOnline here and get the best prices on the Web and up to $900 in FREE WAGERS. 

We weren’t exactly thrilled by yesterday’s results as Roy Halladay of the Philadelphia Phillies was 9-2 when starting against New York with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.094 coming into last night’s game and failed miserably.

Likewise,

Kansas City was 0-10 against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons prior to last night’s game and managed to win.

Gambling911.com did come through on Pittsburgh.
Let’s take a look at today’s important trends.

Atlanta and K. Medlen starting against the Miami Marlins does have slight value with a money line of -170.  The price may be a little steep but Medlen has gone 15-1  against the money line against division opponents since 1997.  He is 13-3 against the money line in road games since 1997.

Miami is 3-17 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons and they will be starting W. Leblanc, who is 0-2 against Atlanta. 

With Atlanta 6-1 on the season so far, they do appear on the surface to be a “safe” bet in this situation despite the high price tag. 

80 percent of the public backing was on Atlanta here.

L. Lynn of the St. Louis Cardinals is 13-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  Bronson Arroyo is 8-13 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.342.  The line on the Cards is -105.  They have not played well up to now so Gambling911.com would only recommend a small bet on St. Louis here.

Tampa Bay’s Roberto Hernandez is just 2-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.463.  Texas is -115 on the money line so definitely some value here. 

The Kansas City Royals do look good starting Jeremy Guthrie.  Check out these hot trends: 

Royals are 7-0 in Guthrie’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Royals are 4-0 in Guthrie’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.

Royals are 5-0 in Guthrie’s last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Royals are 7-0 in Guthrie’s last 7 home starts.

Royals are 6-0 in Guthrie’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

Royals are 11-1 in Guthrie’s last 12 starts.

Royals are 11-1 in Guthrie’s last 12 starts on grass.

Royals are 10-1 in Guthrie’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Royals are 9-1 in Guthrie’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Royals are 7-1 in Guthrie’s last 8 starts vs. American League Central.

Royals are 6-1 in Guthrie’s last 7 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Considering Kansas City is just -115 on the money line, there is value here.

The Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com