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“Betting Baseball – The Hot Sheet” is a daily free picks column appearing on the Gambling911.com website so be sure to bookmark us. This week it’s all Dodgers, Dodgers, Dodgers – granted, they will likely carry a steep price against the lowly San Diego Padres.
Monday is no exception to that rule. Nonetheless, we can deal with the -174 offered at BetOnline.
The Dodgers starting pitchers have enjoyed great success against San Diego and that includes Monday's scheduled start for Chad Billingsly, who has eight wins, 10 quality starts, a 2.71 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 14 starts against the Padres the past four seasons combined. It helps that he is 8-0 in his last eight starts.
LA has gone 4-1 in the last 5 starts against San Diego.
The Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
That said, the Padres are 6-0 in Stults' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and they are 5-1 in Stults' last 6 road starts.
If only the price were a little lower. There is a risk involved here but a small play is recommended.
The Philadelphia Phillies are a good play especially at -109 with Cliff Lee 6-2 when starting against Cincinnait with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.359. Bronson Arroyo is 2-7 when starting against Philadelphia with an ERA of 6.33 and a WHIP of 1.526.
Philadelphia has won 3 of the last 4 and 7 of the last 10 in this series and they are 38-15 in the last 53 meetings.
The Phillies are 14-5 in Lees last 19 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. They are 1-6 in Arroyo’s last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
One bright spot for Cincinnati, they are 13-3 in Arroyos last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
