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This free baseball pick for the Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets is courtesy of Pregame.com.
The New York Mets host the Detroit Tigers tonight in a battle of hot winning teams. Momentum is with the Mets, as they are clearly the better home team while the Tigers are a paltry road team. The Mets are -110 favorites, with a total of 8 runs expected tonight. ESPN will televise this game starting at 7:10 EDT.
New York had an offensive explosion last night, as they were able to snap their 2 game losing streak. The Mets are 40-20 SU this season, including an impressive 25-10 SU at home. New York is easily one of the elite teams to back from a betting standpoint, as they are up +11 and +21.72 units both SU and on the RL this season. Only 2 of their last 10 opponents have scored more than 4 runs against this Mets pitching staff. One of the biggest surprises on this Mets team has been pitcher R.A Dickey. Dickey is 5-0 with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. The Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague games overal. The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter. New York is 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games against a right-handed starter. New York is 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Mets are 5-0 in Dickey's last 5 starts overall.
The Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record. The Under is 7-0 in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning record. Second baseman Luis Castillo is Out tonight with a foot injury.
Detroit was rolling right along, winners of 8 of their previous 10 games. However, all didn't go well in their series opener in New York against the Mets. Detroit has an impressive record this year, 38-31 SU to be exact. However, the Tigers are only 13-20 SU on the road this season. Detroit is +5.63 and +7.24 units respectively both SU and on the RL this year. Tonight marks the 1st time in their last 10 games that the Tigers will be the listed underdog. P Jeremy Bonderman has actually pitched fairly well this season, despite minimal expectation. Bonderman is 3-4 with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.23 this year. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Detroit is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a right-handed starter. The Tigers are 48-22 in their last 70 interleague games against a right-handed starter. The Tigers are 4-0 in Bonderman's last 4 starts against the National League East. Detroit is 1-8 in Bonderman's last 9 starts against a team with a winning record.
The Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games against the National League East. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. Center fielder Austin Jackson is listed as Probable tonight with a slight back injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the New York Mets. The Mets -110 is the Side of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
