Red Sox vs. Twins Free Baseball Pick

This free baseball pick on the Red Sox vs. Twins game is courtesy of Johnny Detroit at Pregame.com.  Visit Pregame.com for more free picks and game analyses daily.

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The Minnesota Twins host the Boston Red Sox in the opening of Target Field. The Twins will certainly be excited for their Field Opener, as well as build on the success they've been having this season. The Red Sox are looking to get back over .500 on the season. The Boston Red Sox are -145 favorites, with a total of 9 runs expected today. ESPN will air this AL battle at 4:10 EDT.

It will be a historic event today, as Minnesota welcomes in Target Field. The world famous Metrodome is a venue that is merely history now, so no more fly balls lost in the sky. The Twins lost yesterday, ending a 5 game winning streak. Minnesota is 5-2 SU this year, winning both series so far this year. The Twins will send Carl Pavano to the mound to face the Red Sox. Pavano beat the Red Sox last year in his only start against the Red Sox over the past 5 years. Pavano was brilliant against in his season debut, only allowing 1 run over 7 innings against the Angels. Minnesota is 10-2 in their last 12 games at home, back in the Metrodome days. The Twins are 37-15 in their last 52 home games when facing a left-handed starter.

The Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing record. The Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games as the listed home underdog. Closer Joe Nathan is OUT with a serious elbow injury.

Boston just put the finishing touches on their first series win of the season. The Red Sox won their final 2 games against the Royals, scoring 8 runs in each contest. With the Red Sox offense heating up, it's quite likely the Red Sox will go above .500 for the 1st since Opening Day. Despite their recent success in Kansas City, the Red Sox are only 2-6 in their last 8 road games. The Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the Twins, yet they are only 6-13 over their last 19 games in Minnesota. The Red Sox are one of many teams in the AL that are happy to see the Metrodome as a thing of the past. Boston will have their ace, Jon Lester on the mound today. Lester struggled a bit in his season debut against the Yankees, so he will be anxious to get back out on the mound for redemption. The Red Sox are 19-7 in Lester's last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

The Red Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 7-1 in the Red Sox last 8 games as the listed road favorite. Shortstop Jed Lowrie is out this afternoon with a sickness. Speedy Outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury is Questionable today with injured ribs.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 7-3 in favor of the Boston Red Sox. The Boston Red Sox -145 are the Play of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com