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This Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.
The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays in an American League clash tonight. Both teams are near the top of the American League standings, so this should be a great weekend series. The Twins are -120 favorites tonight, with a total of 8.5 runs expected. This American League battle begins at 8:10 EDT.
Minnesota has won back to back games, pushing their lead in the American League Central to 1.5 games. Minnesota is 43-35 SU this season, including 25-14 SU at home. The Twins have been winning of late thanks to an explosive offense. The Twins are +1.34 and -7.01 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. P Carl Pavano will look to keep up his solid season so far with a strong performance tonight. Pavano is 9-6 with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.03 this year. The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter. Minnesota is 4-0 in Pavano's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. Minnesota is 4-1 in Pavano's last 5 starts as a home favorite. The Twins are 5-2 in Pavano's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%. The Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay is happy to see the month of June left behind. The Rays struggled in June, notably their offense. Tampa Bay was recently no-hit yet again, an amazing occurrence that has happened far too frequently to such a talented offense. Tampa is 45-32 SU this season, 2 games behind the Yankees in the American League East division. The Rays are -3.54 and -8.87 units both SU and on the RL this year. Ace P Jeff Niemann will look to get his team back on track tonight. Niemann is 6-2 overall this season, with an ERA of 2.72 and a WHIP of 1.07. The Rays are 13-5 in their last 18 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Rays are 1-6 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter. Tampa is 7-0 in Niemann's last 7 road starts. The Rays are 4-0 in Niemann's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. Tampa is 9-3 in Niemann's last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Rays are 5-2 in Niemann's last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
The Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-3 in favor of the Minnesota Twins. The Twins -120 is the Side of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
