Yankees vs. Indians Free Baseball Pick (July 26, 2010)

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The Cleveland Indians host the New York Yankees tonight on ESPN at 7:05 EDT. How will the Indians handle the best team in baseball in front of a national audience? The Yankees are -180 favorites, with a total of 9.5 runs expected tonight.

Cleveland is playing their best baseball of the season, as they keep winning at underdog prices. The Indians have won 7 of their past 10 games overall, and stand 41-57 SU for the year. Despite having one of the worst records in baseball, Cleveland appears to be the perfect team to play the role of spoiler as the playoffs draw near. Cleveland is -1.61 and -5.88 units both SU and on the RL this year.  The Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a right-handed starter. Cleveland is 4-1 in their last 5 games during game 1 of a series. The Indians are 3-10 in their last 13 Monday games. Cleveland is 4-1 in Westbrook's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Indians are 2-5 in Westbrook's last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 3-10 in Westbrook's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record. The Indians are 1-9 in Westbrook's last 10 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200.

The Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200.

New York continues to have the best record in baseball at 62-35 SU. The Yankees have a 3 game lead in the American League over their division rival, the Tampa Bay Rays. Offensively, the Yankees have lived up to the label Bronx Bombers of late. New York is +6.88 and +13.41 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. P Javier Vazquez will take the mound tonight, as he is 8-7 with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.25 this year. The Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing record. New York is 4-1 in their last 5 games during game 1 of a series. The Yankees are 40-15 in their last 55 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record. New York is 4-1 in Vazquez's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Yankees are 4-1 in Vazquez's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. New York is 5-2 in Vazquez's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record.

The Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a road favorite. The Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record.

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com