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The Cougars will take on the Fighting Illini as -2.5 favorites. The line had moved as high as -3.5 and the downward one-point drop suggests more lopsided action on the Illini. That's not necessarily the case here as greater than 90% of the money was on Houston as of Thursday afternoon, thus making Illinois quite the value bet. Bovada dropping from Houston -3 to -2 tells us pretty much all you need to know here. On the moneyline, Illinois pays out $140 for every $100 bet.
Top Handicappers Loving Illinois as Well
We checked out The Action Network to find that they are all over the Fighting Illini.
The Coogs will be matched up with an Illinois frontcourt that boasts tremendous size, can stretch the floor and can protect the rim at an elite level.
If Chris Cenac Jr. gets into foul trouble early, I really worry about the Coogs’ ability to stay in this game and consistently defend the perimeter against an Illini bunch that lights it up from downtown. I expect Illinois freshman Keaton Wagler to be a very difficult matchup for Houston’s guards.
Total Points Scored Prop Bet - Illinois vs. Houston
All prop bets courtesy of BetUS here
To Score 15+ Points
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
-235
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
-112
Emanuel Sharp (HOU)
+102
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+146
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
+245
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
+280
Kingston Flemings (HOU) is probably a safe play here but it's going to cost you a little more. You will need to wager $23.50 to win (profit) $10. That $23.50 is refunded provided Flemings scores at least 15 points. He scored 15+ points in 18 of 31 games (~58%) this season.
Keaton Wagler (ILL) has better value as he pays out closer to even odds (around $11 is needed to win $10).
To Score 20+ Points
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
+156
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+300
Emanuel Sharp (HOU)
+360
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+480
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
+820
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
+960
Kingston Flemings closed with 18 points (8-12 FG, 2-2 FT), six rebounds, four assists and two steals across 28 minutes during Thursday's 78-47 win over Idaho. Just two more points Flemings pays out $156 for every $100 bet.
To Score 25+ Points
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
+470
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+920
Emanuel Sharp (HOU)
+1120
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+1300
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
+2000
To Score 30+ Points
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
+1260
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+2200
Over/Under Player Totals
Milos Uzan (HOU) - Total Points
Milos Uzan (HOU) Over
O 10.5-115
Milos Uzan (HOU) Under
U 10.5-115
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU) - Total Points
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU) Over
O 9.5+100
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU) Under
U 9.5-130
Kylan Boswell (ILL) - Total Points
Kylan Boswell (ILL) Over
O 10.5-125
Kylan Boswell (ILL) Under
U 10.5-105
Kingston Flemings (HOU) - Total Points
Kingston Flemings (HOU) Over
O 17.5-110
Kingston Flemings (HOU) Under
U 17.5-120
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL) - Total Points
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL) Over
O 8.5+100
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL) Under
U 8.5-130
Joseph Tugler (HOU) - Total Points
Joseph Tugler (HOU) Over
O 9.5+100
Joseph Tugler (HOU) Under
U 9.5-130
David Mirkovic (ILL) - Total Points
David Mirkovic (ILL) Over
O 12.5-120
David Mirkovic (ILL) Under
U 12.5-110
Mercy Miller (HOU) - Total Points
Mercy Miller (HOU) Over
O 6.5-105
Mercy Miller (HOU) Under
U 6.5-125
Keaton Wagler (ILL) - Total Points
Keaton Wagler (ILL) Over
O 14.5-115
Keaton Wagler (ILL) Under
U 14.5-115
Emanuel Sharp (HOU) - Total Points
Emanuel Sharp (HOU) Over
O 14.5+100
Emanuel Sharp (HOU) Under
U 14.5-130
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL) - Total Points
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL) Over
O 10.5-105
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL) Under
U 10.5
Total Rebounds Prop Bet - Illinois vs. Houston
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU) and David Mirkovic (ILL) start offering more generous payout odds at 10+ rebounds.
Mirkovic accumulated 19 points (8-13 FG, 2-7 3Pt, 1-3 FT), five rebounds and five assists over 37 minutes during Friday's 91-88 OT loss to Wisconsin but he's priced awfully high to duplicate the 4+ rebounds (-2000, not worth betting) and even 6+, while doable, is priced at -360.
To Record 4+ Rebounds
David Mirkovic (ILL)
-2200
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
-2000
Joseph Tugler (HOU)
-590
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL)
-215
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
-180
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
-166
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
-164
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
-132
To Record 6+ Rebounds
David Mirkovic (ILL)
-390
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
-390
Joseph Tugler (HOU)
-170
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL)
+145
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+210
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
+230
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
+240
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
+290
To Record 8+ Rebounds
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
-128
David Mirkovic (ILL)
-124
Joseph Tugler (HOU)
+200
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL)
+460
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+820
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
+870
Kingston Flemings (HOU)
+960
Kylan Boswell (ILL)
+1060
To Record 10+ Rebounds
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
+194
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+205
Joseph Tugler (HOU)
+530
Tomislav Ivisic (ILL)
+1200
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)
+2200
Keaton Wagler (ILL)
+2200
To Record 12+ Rebounds
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
+460
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+480
Joseph Tugler (HOU)
+1260
To Record 14+ Rebounds
Chris Cenac Jr. (HOU)
+1060
David Mirkovic (ILL)
+1120
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
