Biden State of the Union Betting Odds, Props (2024)
If you are looking to place bets on this year's President Joe Biden State of the Union, you're in luck. BetOnline has a huge number of prop bets here.
Biden will speak to both chambers of Congress at 9 p.m. EST Thursday March 7.
Typical prop bets will include the Over/Under on number of standing ovations.
You can bet (literally) there will be a prop on how many times Biden misspeaks, which world leaders he mismatches the nation they oversee and plenty of "mention" props like how many times Biden says "Trump".
BetOnline.ag has created a plethora of prop bets for the SOTU including the length, factual errors, what he will mention most, will age or cognitive ability be referenced and more.
In an election year, this will be watched by millions. Ratings odds are expected as well.
Heavy traffic to the Gambling911 website has been observed as the SOTU approaches.
2024 Biden State of the Union Prop Bets
Length of Biden Address
Over/Under 69.5 minutes
Number of 'Non-Facts' as per WAPO Fact Checker Blog
Over/Under 11½
Biden SOTU: Will Any of These Happen?
To directly mention 'Trump'
2/1
To mis-name a foreign leader or country
3/1
To say either 'senile' or 'dementia'
3/1
To directly mention 'Obama'
4/1
To have a five second 'brain freeze'
10/1
To confuse Trump with Obama
14/1
To confuse Nikki Haley with anyone else
20/1
Biden SOTU: Most Mentions
Border
10/13
(-130)
Ukraine
3/1
(+300)
Gun/Guns
19/4
(+475)
Security
6/1
(+600)
Biden SOTU: Most Mentions
Democracy
5/6
(-120)
January/Jan 6th
7/2
(+350)
MAGA
4/1
(+400)
Putin
5/1
(+500)
Biden SOTU: To mention Trump's cognitive ability?
Yes +250 (5/2)
No -400 (1/4)
Biden SOTU: To Refer to Own or Trump's Age?
Yes +400 (4/1)
No -700 (1/7)
Katie Britt SOTU Response: Which words will she say?
Cognitive
1/1
(+100)
Radical Islam/Islamic
1/1
(+100)
Mexico
6/5
(+120)
Sleepy
3/2
(+150)
Communist
2/1
(+200)
Senile/Senility
9/4
(+225)
Dementia
11/4
(+275)
Woke Mind Virus
9/2
(+450)
Antifa
5/1
(+500)
PRESIDENT
DONALD TRUMP: -120 (FROM +105)
JOE BIDEN: +175 (FROM +210)
MICHELLE OBAMA: +1400 (FROM +800)
GAVIN NEWSOM: +1400 (FROM +800)
KAMALA HARRIS: +2000 (FROM +1600)
ROBERT KENNEDY JR: +2500
PRESIDENT
DONALD TRUMP: -120
JOE BIDEN: +175
ANYONE ELSE: +350
REPUBLICAN NOMINEE
DONALD TRUMP: -10000
ANYONE ELSE: +2000
DEMOCRAT NOMINEE
JOE BIDEN: -600
MICHELLE OBAMA: +850
GAVIN NEWSOM: +850
KAMALAL HARRIS: +900
Prior 2023 SOTU Prop Bets
Length of State of the Union address
Over/Under 59.5 minutes
How many Biden claims will be queried by WAPO Fact Checker blog?
Over/Under 7.5
Will Kevin McCarthy rip up speech?
Yes 6-1
No 1-15
President Biden approval rating (according to FiveThirtyEight.com on 2-8-23)
Over 43.5 percent
Under 43.5 percent
How many times will Biden say jobs?
Over/Under 8.5
How many times will Biden say infrastructure?
Over/Under 2.5
Which will President Biden say more times?
Inflation Reduction Act
Affordable Care Act
Which will President Biden say more times?
Ukraine
Russia
What will President Biden say first?
Jobs
Inflation
What will President Biden say first?
China
Russia
What will President Biden say first?
Insurrection
MAGA
What will President Biden say first?
January 6th
Border
What will President Biden say first?
Economy
Deficit
Who will be the designated survivor?
Tom Vilsack 8-1
Alejandro Majorkas 10-1
Denis McDonough 10-1
Gina Raimondo 10-1
Jennifer Granholm 10-1
Michael Regan 10-1
Miguel Cardona 10-1
Avril Haines 12-1
Marty Walsh 12-1
Cecilia Rouse 20-1
Marcia Fudge 20-1
Xavier Becerra 20-1
Merrick Garland 25-1
L. Thomas-Greenfield 30-1
Shalanda Young 30-1
Janet Yellen 35-1
Katherine Tai 35-1
Anthony Blinken 40-1
Pete Buttigieg 40-1
Ron Klain 40-1
Arati Prabhakar 50-1
Isabel Guzman 50-1
Kamala Harris 80-1
SOTU Word Bingo Odds
(Biden to say word at any time. Odds with fraction of less than 1 are favorites and are expected to be said. Odds with a fraction of 1-1 or greater are underdogs and are not expected to be said)
Ukraine 1-25
China 1-20
Putin 1-8
Russia 1-8
Inflation Reduction Act 1-4
Infrastructure 1-4
Chips 1-3
Balloon 1-2
January 6th 5-9
Build Back Better 2-3
Jill 2-3
Cyber 4-5
Border 4-5
Affordable Care Act 5-6
Xi Jinping 1-1
Intelligence 1-1
Super Bowl 1-1
Billionaire 5-4
Election 3-2
European Union (EU) 3-2
Opioid 3-2
Delaware 3-2
Germany 2-1
Insurrection 2-1
Scranton 2-1
United Kingdom (UK) 2-1
Fentanyl 5-2
Filibuster 5-2
France 5-2
MAGA 3-1
Poverty 3-1
Kamala 4-1
McCarthy 4-1
Midterms 5-1
Trump 5-1
DeSantis 7-1
Fascism 7-1
Proud Boys 7-1
Critical Race Theory 8-1
Twitter 8-1
Elon 10-1
Mayor Pete 20-1
Republican Address to the Nation Bingo Odds
(Huckabee to say word at any time. Odds with fraction of less than 1 are favorites and are expected to be said. Odds with a fraction of 1-1 or greater are underdogs and are not expected to be said)
Weak 1-5
Woke 1-4
Failure 1-3
Fentanyl 5-8
Socialism/Socialist 1-1
Iran 1-1
Liberal 1-1
Covid 6-5
Recession 3-2
Trump 3-2
Communism/Communist 7-4
Hoax 7-4
Hunter Biden 2-1
Illegitimate 3-1
Durham 4-1
Father 4-1
Laptop 5-1
- Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com
