Buffalo Bills Division Wins Odds for 2026 Set at 4.5

BetOnline has just released its division wins totals for all 32 NFL teams in 2026. 

The Buffalo Bills are listed with an over/under of 4.5 wins against division opponents.  The over has only occurred three times over the last ten seasons and once in the last four years. 

While the New England Patriots will once again be a formidable team in the AFC East, both Miami (Dolphins) and New York (Jets) are expected to win no more than 6 regular season games (Dolphins 4.5 and Jets 5.5).   This forecast has added a half a point to the Bills division win total.  They've had four 4 or more division win seasons over their last six.  As such, the over 4.5 number is hardly a stretch.   

Here is the Buffalo Bills' regular-season record against AFC East opponents for each of the last 10 completed seasons:

Season    AFC East record    Division wins
2025    4–2    4
2024    5–1    5
2023    4–2    4
2022    4–2    4
2021    5–1    5
2020    6–0    6
2019    3–3    3
2018    2–4    2
2017    3–3    3
2016    1–5    1

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