Can Clemson Really Cover the Spread Against Notre Dame Saturday?

Submitted by Tony Caliente on

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Tony Caliente

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Notre Dame vs. Clemson will be a heavily wagered on game for sure this Saturday even with Clemson very un-Clemson-like this season.  Below you will find the Gambling911.com preview.

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The BetUS Preview for Notre Dame vs. Clemson

BetUS host Gary Segars, and expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview the College Football Week 10 game between Notre Dame and Clemson. They'll go over the best value college football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert predictions. 

"They've got four losses before November for the first time since 2010," Segars noted. 

Kyle Hunter points out the similarities between these two teams.

"They're both strong in the trenches.  They both have weaknesses at wide receiver.  But the big difference stops at Sam Hartman is way better than Cade Klubnik at this point. 

"I know he doesn't have great wide receivers around him.  The other thing is the Clemson run attack, which we thought would be really good, is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry.  I don't think the offensive line is playing up to par for Clemson.

"The question when I handicap this game though is Where is Clemson's mind at?  I have a hard time handicapping games like this."

What Do the Numbers Tell Us?

92% of those betting the spread of this game were backing Notre Dame at -3.5 and 82% were backing the Irish at -3.  You'll notice this number is moving in the wrong direction.  If we see the number drop to -2.5, this could be an indication the oddsmakers feel strongly that Clemson can cover here.

The Tigers are still ranked at No. 25 at Sagarin but Notre Dame is No. 10 and viewed as far more superior in this matchup.  This is demonstrated by the 7.72 number we're getting.  The indication is there is around a 5-point underlay and underlays in this range (3/3.5/4) tend to be good for the favorite.  This just seems too easy and it's odd we don't see the number moving more towards 3.5 and 4.

Prop Bets for Notre Dame vs. Clemson

Game Props

3 Straight Scores by Either Team

yes

-205

no

+150

Team to Score First

CLE

+101

ND

-136

Any Team to Score 40+ Points

yes

+584

no

-1250

First score of Game is Touchdown

yes

-286

no

+190

Will there be Overtime

yes

+800

no

-2000

Will there be a Scoreless Quarter

yes

+151

no

-205

Time of First Score O/U 6 (mins elapsed)

Under(6)

-110

Over(6)

-121

Defensive or special teams TD scored

yes

+238

no

-345

Team to Score Last

CLE

-107

ND

-126

Head to Head

Most Receiving Yards: Beaux Collins (CLE) vs Rico Flores (ND)

-223

+143

Most Receiving Yards: Beaux Collins (CLE) vs Holden Staes (ND)

-213

+137

Most Receiving Yards: Beaux Collins (CLE) vs Chris Tyree (ND)

-197

+129

Most Passing TDs: Cade Klubnik (CLE) vs Sam Hartman (ND)

-112

-130

Most Passing Yards: Cade Klubnik (CLE) vs Sam Hartman (ND)

-117

-129

Most Receiving Yards: Chris Tyree (ND) vs Jake Briningstool (CLE)

+139

-213

Most Receiving Yards: Chris Tyree (ND) vs Tyler Brown (CLE)

+145

-223

Most Receiving Yards: Holden Staes (ND) vs Tyler Brown (CLE)

+152

-239

Most Receiving Yards: Holden Staes (ND) vs Jake Briningstool (CLE)

+148

-233

Most Receiving Yards: Jake Briningstool (CLE) vs Rico Flores (ND)

-239

+154

Most Receiving Yards: Rico Flores (ND) vs Tyler Brown (CLE)

+158

-251

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

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