Auburn vs. Ole Miss Betting Preview - February 1
The Auburn Tigers were coming in as a -6 road favorite after opening at -5.5.
The Rebels have gone 10-1 at home. Ole Miss has a 2-3 record in games decided by 3 points or fewer.
The Tigers are 7-0 in SEC play. Auburn has a 13-0 record in games decided by 10 points or more.
Ole Miss averages 77.5 points, 11.7 more per game than the 65.8 Auburn gives up. Auburn averages 9.5 made 3-pointers per game this season, 2.2 more made shots on average than the 7.3 per game Ole Miss allows.
The matchup Saturday is the first meeting this season for the two teams in conference play.
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Sean Pedulla averages 2.4 made 3-pointers per game for the Rebels, scoring 14.5 points while shooting 39.8% from beyond the arc. Jaylen Murray is averaging 11.3 points, 3.7 assists and 1.5 steals over the past 10 games.
Broome is shooting 52.4% and averaging 18.2 points for the Tigers. Miles Kelly is averaging 1.9 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games.
Before You Bet
- The bad news for the Rebels is that they’re vulnerable at the rim when they don’t force turnovers, as they lack a true rim protector. (Action Network)
- Auburn’s SEC opponents are shooting 27% from 3 when it should be closer to 33%, per ShotQuality. Meanwhile, Ole Miss’ opponents are shooting 26%, which should be closer to 34%. I can’t find a schematic edge in this matchup, so I’ll likely stay away. (Action Network)
- Traveling has been tough for the Tigers. They may be 4-1, but they're only 1-4-0 ATS in those games. Auburn's offense dips to 77.6 points and 43.3% shooting on the road. Defensively, the Tigers allow 74.2 points on 45.9% shooting as visitors. Meanwhile, the Rebels are 10-1 at home. (Winners and Whiners)
- Auburn has won the last six in this series, four of which were more than the current spread.
- AcePerHead Action: 55% to 64% Auburn spread at -6.
- Top Cappers: Ole Miss
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