Baylor vs. Mississippi State Betting Preview - 1st Round NCAA Tournament

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Published on:
Mar/21/2025

The Baylor vs. Mississippi State betting first round NCAA tournament game should be among the most competitive with a 1-point line that has favored either team at one point.  As of Friday, Mississippi State was coming in as a -1.5 favorite at most sportsbooks and PPH platforms.

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The Bulldogs have gone 9-11 against SEC opponents, with a 12-1 record in non-conference play. Mississippi State averages 79.8 points while outscoring opponents by 5.6 points per game.

The Bears are 11-11 against Big 12 teams. Baylor is 3-4 in games decided by 3 points or fewer.

Mississippi State’s average of 8.4 made 3-pointers per game this season is just 0.5 more made shots on average than the 7.9 per game Baylor gives up. Baylor averages 8.5 made 3-pointers per game this season, 0.7 fewer makes per game than Mississippi State allows.

KeShawn Murphy is averaging 11.8 points and 7.5 rebounds for the Bulldogs. Josh Hubbard is averaging 21.1 points over the last 10 games.
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Norchad Omier is shooting 56.7% and averaging 15.9 points for the Bears. VJ Edgecombe is averaging 15.0 points over the last 10 games.

Player Scoring Props

Cameron Matthews

Mississippi State

(6.5)

Jeremy Roach

Baylor

(9.5)

Josh Hubbard

Mississippi State

(20.5)

Keshawn Murphy

Mississippi State

(12.5)

Norchad Omier

Baylor

(15.5)

RJ Melendez

Mississippi State

(8.5)

Riley Kugel

Mississippi State

(8.5)

Robert O. Wright

Baylor

(9.5)

VJ Edgecombe

Baylor

(16.5)

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