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Army (8-0) takes on North Texas (5-3) at 3:30 pm ET on ESPN2. Army covered in each of its first six games of the season before dropping their last two. North Texas is 4-4 Against The Spread.
Army @ North Texas
Opening Line - The line opened at Army -6.
Line Trend - This one has moved from -5 to -3 over the course of this week.
Sagarin – Sagarin gives us a number of -2.99 Army. Despite being an accurate number heading into Friday afternoon, we did have a decent sized overlay of 3 early on. The early number and overlay bode well for the dog (North Texas).
Action Trend – Action was mostly balanced.
Comparables
- Kansas State -5.5 to -3.5 Colorado (Kansas State 2.78 On The Money) - Home dog covers.
- Penn State -5.5 to -3.5 USC (Penn State 1.29 Overlay) - Home dog covers.
- Mississippi State -7 to -3.5 Kentucky (home dog Kentucky covers and wins) - Miss State 0.72 Overlay of 2.5 to 6 points - Home dog covers.
What’s at Stake?
Army is trying to extend the nation's longest active winning streak of 12 games going back to last season. North Texas wants a replay of its last home game against a ranked opponent. Three years ago, the Mean Green handed UTSA its first loss of the season with a resounding 45-23 victory. The Black Knights haven't trailed during their longest winning streak since 1949-50. UNT remains on the cusp of bowl eligibility, which eluded coach Eric Morris in his 5-7 debut a year ago. The Mean Green have lost their past two games, 52-44 at Memphis and 45-37 at home against Tulane.
Key Matchup
North Texas is third nationally in total offense and will face an Army defense that is No. 5 in the country. The Mean Green average 528 yards per game, and the Black Knights give up just 273. North Texas throws for almost 200 yards per game more than Army allows.
Players to Watch
Army: QBs Bryson Daily and/or Dewayne Coleman directing the triple option. Daily was leading the nation with 19 touchdowns rushing before missing last week's 20-3 victory over Air Force with an undisclosed injury and illness. Coach Jeff Monken said Daily was “somewhere between questionable and probable.” Coleman ran 16 times for 42 yards against the Falcons while RB Kanye Udoh had a career-high 158 yards rushing and both touchdowns.
North Texas: QB Chandler Morris leads FBS in passing yards per game at 359.1 and is tied for second in passing TDs with 29. He has four games of at least 400 yards this season. No other FBS player has more than two.
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