Colorado vs. Kansas Betting Preview - November 23

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Published on:
Nov/22/2024

The Colorado vs. Kansas game has important ramifications for the No. 16 ranked Buffaloes.

Colorado is tied with BYU in the league standings at 6-1 and a game back of the Cougars in overall record with two games to go. So if the Buffaloes win out, they will be playing for the Big 12 title. If they lose to Kansas, they would need Arizona State and Iowa State to lose at least one game or BYU to lose its last two. The Jayhawks have won consecutive games against ranked teams for the first time in school history.

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Line Analysis and Action

Opening Line - We've seen this one open anywhere from Colorado -1.5 (BetOnline) to -3 (Circa).

Line Trend  - The line has mostly moved between -2.5 and -3.

Sagarin – Sagarin gives us a number of Colorado 0.94, indicating an overlay here.

Action Trend – Action was between 60% and 65% favoring the Buffaloes.

Comparables

  • Alabama -3/-2.5 LSU (Alabama 1.63 Overlay) - Balanced Action. - Road favorite covers.
  • Western Michigan -2.5 to -3 Eastern Michigan (Western Mich 1.68) - Road favorite covers.
  • Ole Miss -2.5 /-3 Texas A&M (road favorite Mississippi mostly covers and pushes with 3 point win) Ole Miss 1.21 Overlay of 1 to 1.5 points - Road favorite covers.
  • TCU -2.5 SMU (SMU 1 Overlay) - Home dog covers.
  • San Jose State -2.5 SDSU (home dog SDSU covers and wins by a lot) San Jose State 1.45 Overlay 1 point - Home dog covers.

Key Matchup

Colorado star Travis Hunter against the Kansas defense, and particularly standout cornerbacks Cobee Bryant and Mello Dotson. Hunter is among the frontrunners for the Heisman Trophy thanks to his two-way versatility, but he will face two of the Big 12's premier cover cornerbacks against the Jayhawks.

Players to Watch

Colorado: Shedeur Sanders will be one of the first QBs taken in the NFL draft, and he has been particularly good over the last three weeks. Sanders has thrown for at least 291 yards in each of the games and has eight touchdown passes against one interception.

Kansas: RB Devin Neal had two TD runs in last week's road upset of then-No. 6 BYU, and he needs just 74 yards to reach 1,000 for the third consecutive season. His ability to grind away yards will be crucial to keeping the high-powered Colorado offense off the field.

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