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Diego Pavia's total passing yards prop bet for Friday's Birmingham Bowl game versus Georgia Tech was coming in at 192.5.
Pavia received an injunction in court that allows him to be eligible for the 2025 season, the team has landed several transfers in recent days and has seen only one significant departure among players with eligibility remaining.
Pavia has 2,133 passing yards (177.8 per game) while completing 59.2% of passes (164 for 277), with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions.
Pavia will face off against Yellow Jackets quarterback Haynes King, who already has announced that he will return in 2025. King's passing yards total was listed at 195.5.
Betting Line Analysis
The Yellow Jackets have the better offense but the Commodores have the better defense.
The line has sat at -2.5 favoring Georgia Tech.
Sagarin gives us a number of 3.5, indicating a slight underlay.
Comparables
- California +2.5 FSU (FSU 6.27 Big Underlay) - Favorite covers.
- Miami -2.5 Florida (Miami -5 Underlay) - Favorite covers.
- Coastal Carolina -2.5 Georgia State (favorite Coastal Carolina covers and wins by a lot) Coastal Carolina 6.00 Underlay 3.5 points - Favorite covers.
- Boston College +2.5 Virginia Tech (favorite Virginia Tech wins by double digits) 7.48 Underlay of 5 - Favorite covers.
Winners and Whiners Prediction
"The Yellow Jackets will win and cover the spread in this one, as they easily handle the Commodores. Vanderbilt has had an impressive season but has faded down the stretch and with some key opt outs, as well as some off-the-field items taking the headlines, they aren't in the right place to win this one. On the offensive side, they lack the ball control to keep Georgia Tech off the field and Georgia Tech’s physicality will be felt in this one. Georgia Tech’s experience will be felt and they’ll be able to build off of the last game, while Vanderbilt’s finish carries over into struggles in this one."
Who We Like
We will be on Georgia Tech -2.5.
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