Odds on Every Team Making the College Football Playoffs 2025-2026
The inaugural college football 12-Team Playoff had some interesting results with the eighth-seeded Ohio State Buckeyes beating the seventh-seeded Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win last season's CFP Championship.
Last season, the oddsmakers at BetOnline.ag opened their playoff odds with 33 teams. This year, they’ve opened them with all 134 FBS teams.
Here are some notes from last year’s opening odds:
- The teams with the five best odds all made the playoff: Ohio State, Georgia, Oregon, Texas and Clemson.
- The teams with the sixth to 12th best odds did not make the playoff: FSU, K-State, Michigan, Utah, Miami, Ole Miss and Arizona.
- Notre Dame was 5/2 (+250) to make the playoff, which equated to 28.57%.
- These playoff teams did not have opening odds: ASU, Boise State, Indiana and SMU.
There are three columns for the spreadsheet below:
- Fractional odds
- Moneyline odds
- % chance according to the odds to make the playoff
|
To make 12-Team Playoff |
|||
|
Odds |
Moneyline |
Playoff % |
|
|
Ohio State |
4/13 |
-325 |
76.47% |
|
Texas |
1/3 |
-300 |
75% |
|
Oregon |
5/13 |
-260 |
72.22% |
|
Georgia |
2/5 |
-250 |
71.43% |
|
Penn State |
5/12 |
-240 |
70.59% |
|
Alabama |
2/3 |
-150 |
60% |
|
Notre Dame |
2/3 |
-150 |
60% |
|
Clemson |
10/13 |
-130 |
56.52% |
|
LSU |
7/5 |
+140 |
41.67% |
|
Ole Miss |
7/5 |
+140 |
41.67% |
|
Boise State |
39/20 |
+195 |
33.90% |
|
Miami FL |
2/1 |
+200 |
33.33% |
|
Michigan |
11/5 |
+220 |
31.25% |
|
Tennessee |
9/4 |
+225 |
30.77% |
|
Texas A&M |
12/5 |
+240 |
29.41% |
|
Louisville |
33/10 |
+330 |
23.26% |
|
SMU |
7/2 |
+350 |
22.22% |
|
Auburn |
15/4 |
+375 |
21.05% |
|
Florida |
4/1 |
+400 |
20% |
|
South Carolina |
4/1 |
+400 |
20% |
|
Arizona State |
9/2 |
+450 |
18.18% |
|
Kansas State |
19/4 |
+475 |
17.39% |
|
Texas Tech |
19/4 |
+475 |
17.39% |
|
Utah |
5/1 |
+500 |
16.67% |
|
Oklahoma |
21/4 |
+525 |
16% |
|
USC |
11/2 |
+550 |
15.38% |
|
Baylor |
23/4 |
+575 |
14.81% |
|
Missouri |
23/4 |
+575 |
14.81% |
|
Illinois |
25/4 |
+625 |
13.79% |
|
Indiana |
25/4 |
+625 |
13.79% |
|
BYU |
13/2 |
+650 |
13.33% |
|
Nebraska |
27/4 |
+6tg75 |
12.90% |
|
Iowa |
7/1 |
+700 |
12.50% |
|
Georgia Tech |
15/2 |
+750 |
11.76% |
|
Memphis |
8/1 |
+800 |
11.11% |
|
Tulane |
8/1 |
+800 |
11.11% |
|
TCU |
9/1 |
+900 |
10% |
|
Washington |
19/2 |
+950 |
9.52% |
|
Iowa State |
10/1 |
+1000 |
9.09% |
|
Liberty |
11/1 |
+1100 |
8.33% |
|
Duke |
12/1 |
+1200 |
7.69% |
|
Florida State |
12/1 |
+1200 |
7.69% |
|
James Madison |
12/1 |
+1200 |
7.69% |
|
Kansas |
12/1 |
+1200 |
7.69% |
|
Minnesota |
14/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
|
North Carolina |
14/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
|
Virginia Tech |
14/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
|
Army |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
|
Cincinnati |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
|
Colorado |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
|
Houston |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
|
NC State |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
|
Michigan State |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
Navy |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
Pittsburgh |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
Texas State |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
Toledo |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
UNLV |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
|
Syracuse |
22/1 |
+2200 |
4.35% |
|
UTSA |
22/1 |
+2200 |
4.35% |
|
Arkansas |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
|
Louisiana |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
|
UCLA |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
|
UCF |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
|
Western Kentucky |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
|
Arizona |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
Boston College |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
California |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
Fresno State |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
South Alabama |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
Virginia |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
Wisconsin |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
|
Appalachian State |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Georgia Southern |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Ohio |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Oklahoma State |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Rutgers |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Vanderbilt |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
West Virginia |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
|
Air Force |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
Buffalo |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
Jacksonville State |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
Kentucky |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
Miami OH |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
South Florida |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
|
Colorado State |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
|
Maryland |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
|
North Texas |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
|
San Jose State |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
|
Wake Forest |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
|
East Carolina |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Hawaii |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Louisiana Tech |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Northern Illinois |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Old Dominion |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Troy |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
|
Arkansas State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Bowling Green |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Coastal Carolina |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
FIU |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Marshall |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Middle Tennessee |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Mississippi State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Northwestern |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Oregon State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Sam Houston |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
San Diego State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Southern Miss |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Stanford |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
UTEP |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Western Michigan |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Wyoming |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
|
Akron |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Ball State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Central Michigan |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Charlotte |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Eastern Michigan |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Florida Atlantic |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Georgia State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Kennesaw State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Kent State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
New Mexico |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
New Mexico State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Nevada |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Purdue |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Rice |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Temple |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Tulsa |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
UAB |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
UConn |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
ULM |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
UMass |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Utah State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
|
Washington State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
