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Missouri sits just outside the AP Top 25 and looks to rebound from last week's 34-30 loss at South Carolina that dropped the Tigers to midpack in the conference. Mississippi State returns from a bye after losing 33-14 at Tennessee and seeks to end a 10-game SEC losing streak dating to last season.
Line Analysis and Action
- Opening Line - This one opened at Tigers -8 or -7.5.
- Line Trend - The line has mostly stayed on the 7.5.
- Sagarin Number - Sagarin gives us a number of 9.4, indicating an underlay here.
- Action - Action was around 80% Missouri.
Historic Comparables
- Louisville -7/-7.5 Virginia (Louisville 13.39 Big Underlay) - Home dog covers.
- Illinois -7.5 Nebraska (road favorite Illinois covers and wins big) Illinois 8.75 Underlay 1 point - Road favorite covers.
- Clemson -7.5 North Carolina (road favorite Clemson covers and wins big) Clemson 12.26 Underlay of 4.5 - Road favorite covers.
Missouri’s defense ranks 18th nationally (311.6 yards per game) and is seventh in both third down percentage (29.1%) and first downs allowed (154). MSU has steadily improved since the beginning of the season and ranks eighth in the SEC with 21.2 first downs per contest. The Bulldogs can also score quickly, with 14 touchdowns in under two minutes and 13 scoring drives of five plays or fewer.
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