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The line on the Navy vs. Army game has moved from Black Knights -4 to -6.5.
Line Analysis and Action
We get a line of 8.95 from Sagarin, indicating a significant underlay. The favorite has performed especially well in college football with underlays in the 6.5 to 7 range though, with the NFL, there is little in the way of any edge.
What’s at Stake?
It's the game of the year for both programs — that's always the case — and this season there's a bit more national significance. Army is coming off a victory in the American Athletic Conference title game and is in the AP Top 25. Navy was ranked as well earlier in the year. Army and Navy have combined for 19 victories, their most ever entering this matchup.
Key Matchup
In the last 12 meetings, the losing team has failed to score more than 17 points. These are two teams that will be familiar with each other and well prepared, meaning the game could be decided by a few high-leverage plays — fourth downs and red zone efficiency in particular may be crucial.
Players to Watch
Navy: S Rayuan Lane III has forced three fumbles this season and was picked as a semifinalist for the Jim Thorpe Award. In Navy's eight wins, the Midshipmen outscored opponents 94-7 in points off turnovers. In the three losses, they were outscored 48-0 off turnovers.
Army: QB Bryson Daily has 29 rushing touchdowns this season. The FBS record for a QB is held by a Navy player — Keenan Reynolds ran for 31 TDs in 2013.
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