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Toledo's Tucker Gleason's total passing yards prop bet vs. the Pittsburgh Panthers was listed at 210.5 at BetUS.
Gleason has passed for more than that number in three of his last five games.
SI.com had this to say about Gleason:
"The junior quarterback had an up-and-down season with the Rockets, passing for 2,457 yards with 22 touchdowns, but had several MAC games where he failed to clear 200 yards through the air. After ending his season with two losses to cap the regular season, can Gleason show some upside against a quality Pitt defensive line?"
Line Analysis and Betting Action
Pittsburgh lost their last five games of the season following a decent enough start in 2024. The team is likely to start its third quarterback on the depth chart for this Sports Bowl.
67% of those betting this game still like the Panthers on the spread. That line has mostly sat at Pittsburgh -7 with some shifts to the -6.5.
Sagarin suggests a line of 9.31 for the Panthers. Underlays in the 7/6.5 range have performed well for the favorite mostly.
Comparables
- Colorado +6.5 to +7 Nebraska (Nebraska 9.76 Underlay) - Favorite covers.
- MSU +6.5 to +7 Minnesota (9.1 Minn - Underlay 2) - Favorite covers.
- UCLA +6 to +7 Oregon (home favorite Oregon covers and wins by a lot) Oregon 8.03 Underlay 1 to 2 points - Favorite covers.
Winners and Whiners
This is a tough game to bet but Winners and Whiners is going with the Rockets here.
"The bowl season always has unpredictable outcomes, so a sprinkle on the moneyline for Toledo wouldn't hurt, but taking the points is the play on the spread. This line opened at nine and has come all the way down to 6.5. It is still unclear if Pitt quarterback Eli Holstein will play in this game, and even if he does, he will not be at 100% as he just went down with a lower leg injury late in the season against Louisville. Yarnell was their backup, but he just hit the portal, so if Holstein cannot play it will be freshman David Lynch under center who only threw nine passes this season. The portal was brutal to Pittsburgh, as covers.com is reporting that 16 Panthers will be out due to injury or transfer, but Toledo will only be out four players. Detroit is firmly in MAC country, so Toledo will have fans for this 2:00 PM start. The Rockets put their top two receivers on the All-Conference team, and Gleason has been their quarterback all season. Pittsburgh's depth is going to be hurt by the portal, and Toledo is bringing virtually their whole roster to this game. Toledo will keep this close."
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