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We don't have to wait long for what is widely expected to be one of the most impactful games of the 2025 college football season as Texas rolls into Ohio State as a +2.5 road dog after opening up at +3. Our Buckeyes fan friends are worried over their team being listed as less than a field goal home favorite. Indeed they have reason to be concerned should the top handicappers be correct here.
First, we would note that greater than 80% of the public is backing Texas even after the line moved to +2.5, which begs the question: Why have the oddsmakers not dropped this one further to +2? They still might.
CBS Sports experts prefer Texas +2.5 here as they cite the Longhorns having a deeper roster. A common theme here and with many of the top cappers is Ohio State's roster and coordinator turnovers.
JD Yonke of Covers.com is also backing Texas +2.5.. Yonke highlights Texas’s stacked roster and defensive strength under Steve Sarkisian.
James Parks of College Football HQ points out Texas’s edge in pass rush and quarterback leadership by Arch Manning outweigh OSU’s wide receiver edge.
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Though Ohio State comes into this one as the defending national champ, they'll have a new quarterback in second-year QB Julian Sayin. Ohio State announced earlier this month that Sayin had beaten out junior Lincoln Kienholz for the job.
Sayin was the top-rated quarterback in the 2024 recruiting cycle. He originally signed with Alabama but transferred to Ohio State following Nick Saban's retirement. During his first year with the Buckeyes, Sayin appeared in four games and took 27 snaps.
Ohio State also retains plenty of talent. Receiver Jeremiah Smith and safety Caleb Downs both earned first-team nods on the AP's preseason All-American team this month. Tight end Max Klare was a second-team honoree while linebacker Sonny Styles also appeared on the Big Ten's 15-player preseason honor roll.
Just two teams allowed fewer passing yards on a per-game basis than Ohio State. The Buckeyes also boasted the No. 3 rushing defense last season.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
