El-Sayed's Michigan Senate Odds Slip After Close Call

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6 August, 2026

El-Sayed's Michigan Senate Odds Slip After Close Call

Following Abdul El-Sayed's victory over Haley Stevens, everyone is eager to project the victor's chances come November when he squares off against incumbent Mike Rogers.

According to ongoing odds provided by BetOnline Sports & Casino, El-Sayed's chances are getting worse.

Going into this week, El-Sayed had -225 odds to become Michigan's U.S. Senator (odds equated to roughly a 70% implied probability).

But after closer-than-expected primary results, those odds have lengthened. El-Sayed is still favored, but not by nearly as much.

Michigan Senate Election

Abdul El-Sayed (M) -150

Mike Rogers (R) +120

(Probability has dropped from 70% to 60% since Monday)

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